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Current Win Probability
Lada Togliatti 20.1%
Draw 21%
Ak Bars Kazan 58.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
19.8%
20.7%
59.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21%
22%
56.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lada Togliatti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
Ak Bars Kazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lada Togliatti than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ak Bars Kazan than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
12.5%
37.5%
Lada Togliatti - Ak Bars Kazan Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Lada will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Ak Bars will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Lada: 15.4% – 84.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
1. Trushkov A. (G)
20. Arefyev M. (G)
27. Cotton A.
58. Miller M.
42. Syomin V. (C)
96. Lyamkin N.
66. Mikhailov N. (A)
95. Galimov A.
13. Sawchuk R.
24. Safonov I.
76. Tyanulin A. (A)
17. Barabanov A.
Line 2
8. Zemchyonok A.
53. Marchenko A. (C)
64. Belousov M.
89. Karpukhin I.
98. Jurco T.
71. Pustozyorov A.
10. Chivilyov A.
94. Semyonov K. (A)
18. Kugryshev D.
55. Chmelevski A.
Line 3
29. Bokun D.
28. Terekhov S.
32. Taimazov A.
33. Yarullin A.
88. Setdikov N.
23. Jaskin D.
21. Savchik I.
29. Todd N.
84. Altybarmakyan A. (A)
14. Denisenko G.
Line 4
23. Chervonenko V.
22. Bardin I.
58. Obidin A.
92. Katelevsky D.
25. Romanov I.
11. Fisenko M. (A)
72. Alistrov V.
Substitutes
60. Bocharov I. (G)
18. Potapov Y.
40. Stolpechenkov A. (G)
Coaches
. Desyatkov P.
. Gatiyatulin A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 2)
09:11, Chmelevski A. (2 min),
13:17, 0 - 1, Terekhov S. (G), Yarullin A. (A), Semyonov K. (A2)
14:42, 0 - 2, Miller M. (G), Safonov I. (A), Galimov A. (A2)
14:58, Zemchyonok A. (2 min),
2nd Period (3 - 1)
02:47, 1 - 2, Belousov M. (G), Tyanulin A. (A), Mikhailov N. (A2)
06:34, Alistrov V. (2 min),
07:17, Semyonov K. (2 min),
07:35, 2 - 2, Cotton A. (G), Kugryshev D. (A), Mikhailov N. (A2)
08:03, Romanov I. (2 min),
13:04, Bokun D. (2 min),
17:43, 3 - 2, Sawchuk R. (G), Tyanulin A. (A), Cotton A. (A2)
19:14, 3 - 3, Todd N. (G), Denisenko G. (A), Jaskin D. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
13:48, 4 - 3, Mikhailov N. (G), Tyanulin A. (A),
15:10, Altybarmakyan A. (2 min),
15:10, Denisenko G. (2 min),
19:59, 5 - 3, Sawchuk R. (G), Setdikov N. (A),
Preview
Ak Bars is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lada won 3.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Ak Bars may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Ak Bars has had a series of away games.
In this match, Ak Bars is seen as the favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lada won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 46:57. (average 2.3:2.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Lada won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 23:20. (average 2.6:2.2).
Watch
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Trushkov A. (G) 
Cotton A. 
Miller M. 
Jurco T. 
Bokun D. 
Jaskin D. 
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