Match Info

RUSSIA: VHL

Date: 29 January 2023, Sunday

Location: Lada Arena (Togliatti)


	Lada Togliatti		Bars Kazan

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.1	4.3
	1.61	4.2	4.71
	1.58	4.45	4.6	Watch
	1.58	4.3	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.69)	4.26 ↓ (4.3)	4.5 ↑ (4.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lada Togliatti
58.1%

Draw
21.5%

Bars Kazan
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

21.7%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4%

20.9%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lada Togliatti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Bars Kazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lada Togliatti than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bars Kazan than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Lada Togliatti - Bars Kazan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lada won 3.

Recent matches Lada is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bars is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Lada is a favorite.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Lada won 11 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 55-56.

Including matches at home between the teams Lada won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 24-22.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Lada Togliatti
VHL
21.01.23	Rostov - Lada Togliatti	1:0 ✺
19.01.23	Buran Voronezh - Lada Togliatti	2:4 ✺
14.01.23	Lada Togliatti - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	3:1 ✺
12.01.23	Lada Togliatti - Chelmet	3:4 ✺
10.01.23	Lada Togliatti - Zauralie Kurgan	2:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWWLL
- HC Bars Kazan
VHL
19.01.23	Rostov - Bars Kazan	5:2 ✺
17.01.23	Buran Voronezh - Bars Kazan	1:5 ✺
12.01.23	Bars Kazan - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	3:4 pen. ✺
10.01.23	Bars Kazan - Chelmet	0:3 ✺
08.01.23	Bars Kazan - Zauralie Kurgan	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
28.09.22	Bars Kazan - Lada Togliatti	3:4 OT
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
29.08.22	Bars Kazan - Lada Togliatti	2:4
28.08.22	Bars Kazan - Lada Togliatti	2:1
12.08.22	Lada Togliatti - Bars Kazan	2:1
VHL
22.01.22	Lada Togliatti - Bars Kazan	2:3
04.10.21	Bars Kazan - Lada Togliatti	5:6 penalties
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
10.08.21	Lada Togliatti - Bars Kazan	2:1

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