Match Info

RUSSIA: VHL

Date: 12 January 2023, Thursday

Location: Lada Arena (Togliatti)


	Lada Togliatti		Chelmet

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.2	4.8
	1.57	4.27	5
	1.57	4.45	4.65	Watch
	1.51	4.4	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.67)	4.33 ↑ (4.2)	4.86 ↑ (3.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lada Togliatti
59.9%

Draw
21.2%

Chelmet
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.6%

21.7%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

20.7%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lada Togliatti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lada Togliatti's performance.

Chelmet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lada Togliatti than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lada Togliatti that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelmet than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chelmet could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lada Togliatti - Chelmet Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lada won 4.

Recent matches Lada is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Chelmet is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Lada could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Lada is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Lada won 10 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 35-24.

Including matches at home between the teams Lada won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Lada Togliatti
VHL
10.01.23	Lada Togliatti - Zauralie Kurgan	2:3 OT ✺
08.01.23	Lada Togliatti - Gornyak-UGMK	6:1 ✺
25.12.22	Dizel Penza - Lada Togliatti	0:3 ✺
23.12.22	Tambov - Lada Togliatti	4:2 ✺
21.12.22	Khimik - Lada Togliatti	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWWLW
- HC Chelmet
VHL
10.01.23	Bars Kazan - Chelmet	0:3 ✺
29.12.22	Chelmet - Buran Voronezh	3:2 ✺
27.12.22	Chelmet - Rostov	2:1 ✺
20.12.22	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Chelmet	4:3 penalties ✺
16.12.22	Chelmet - Zauralie Kurgan	5:4 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
14.10.22	Chelmet - Lada Togliatti	0:1
01.02.22	Chelmet - Lada Togliatti	2:3
21.09.21	Lada Togliatti - Chelmet	5:2
06.02.21	Chelmet - Lada Togliatti	5:2
16.09.20	Lada Togliatti - Chelmet	3:1
03.10.19	Lada Togliatti - Chelmet	4:2
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
29.07.19	Chelmet - Lada Togliatti	0:1

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