Match Info

Date: 4 October 2022, Tuesday

Location: Lada Arena (Togliatti)


	Lada Togliatti		Buran Voronezh

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.8	5.8
	1.4	4.84	5.6
	1.4	5.2	5.9	Watch
	1.38	5	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↑ (1.3)	4.96 ↓ (5.6)	5.83 ↓ (8.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lada Togliatti
65.9%

Draw
18.4%

Buran Voronezh
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.8%

16.7%

11.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.2%

16.4%

11.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lada Togliatti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lada Togliatti's form might have worsened.

Buran Voronezh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lada Togliatti than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lada Togliatti, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buran Voronezh than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Lada Togliatti - Buran Voronezh Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lada won 5.

Recent matches Lada is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Buran is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lada could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Lada have a series of home games.

In this match Lada is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Lada to win the game is with odds 1.41.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Lada won 11 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 58-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Lada won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 27-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Lada Togliatti
VHL
02.10.22	Lada Togliatti - Rostov	2:3 OT ✺
28.09.22	Bars Kazan - Lada Togliatti	3:4 OT ✺
24.09.22	Lada Togliatti - Zvezda Moscow	4:1 ✺
22.09.22	Lada Togliatti - AKM	5:2 ✺
18.09.22	Lada Togliatti - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWWL
- Buran Voronezh
VHL
02.10.22	Zvezda Moscow - Buran Voronezh	3:4 ✺
30.09.22	AKM - Buran Voronezh	6:1 ✺
25.09.22	Buran Voronezh - Omskie Krylia	3:4 ✺
23.09.22	Buran Voronezh - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	3:4 ✺
21.09.22	Buran Voronezh - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
12.01.22	Lada Togliatti - Buran Voronezh	6:2
13.10.21	Buran Voronezh - Lada Togliatti	2:9
13.02.21	Lada Togliatti - Buran Voronezh	6:2
13.11.20	Buran Voronezh - Lada Togliatti	1:5
18.01.20	Lada Togliatti - Buran Voronezh	3:1
30.10.19	Buran Voronezh - Lada Togliatti	0:2
22.02.19	Buran Voronezh - Lada Togliatti	2:7

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