Match Info

Date: 24 September 2022, Saturday

Location: Lada Arena (Togliatti)


	Lada Togliatti		Zvezda Moscow

	1	X	2
	1.56	4.2	4.2
	1.63	4.05	4.17
	1.61	4.4	4.4	Watch
	1.59	4.3	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.56)	4.24 ↓ (4.5)	4.29 ↓ (4.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lada Togliatti
57.2%

Draw
21.6%

Zvezda Moscow
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.9%

20.8%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

20.4%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lada Togliatti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Zvezda Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lada Togliatti than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zvezda Moscow than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Lada Togliatti - Zvezda Moscow Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lada won 4.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Zvezda Moscow could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Zvezda Moscow have a series of guest games.

In this match Lada is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Lada to win the game is with odds 1.51.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Lada won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 30-24.

Including matches at home between the teams Lada won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Lada Togliatti
VHL
22.09.22	Lada Togliatti - AKM	5:2 ✺
18.09.22	Lada Togliatti - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	1:2 penalties ✺
13.09.22	Omskie Krylia - Lada Togliatti	4:5 ✺
11.09.22	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Lada Togliatti	1:4 ✺
08.09.22	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - Lada Togliatti	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WLWWL
- Zvezda Moscow
VHL
22.09.22	Bars Kazan - Zvezda Moscow	1:2 ✺
18.09.22	Zvezda Moscow - AKM	4:1 ✺
11.09.22	Omskie Krylia - Zvezda Moscow	2:0 ✺
09.09.22	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Zvezda Moscow	5:2 ✺
06.09.22	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - Zvezda Moscow	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Ice Hockey
25.08.22	Zvezda Moscow - Lada Togliatti	3:5
VHL
09.12.21	Lada Togliatti - Zvezda Moscow	5:4 OT
11.11.21	Zvezda Moscow - Lada Togliatti	1:4
27.01.21	Lada Togliatti - Zvezda Moscow	2:3
29.09.20	Zvezda Moscow - Lada Togliatti	2:4
29.11.19	Zvezda Moscow - Lada Togliatti	3:1
05.11.19	Lada Togliatti - Zvezda Moscow	7:4

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