Match Info

Date: 28 September 2022, Wednesday


	Bars Kazan		Lada Togliatti

	1	X	2
	3.55	3.8	1.73
	3.64	3.68	1.77
	3.64	4.25	1.77	Watch
	3.7	3.95	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.63 ↓ (4.44)	3.92 ↓ (4.3)	1.76 ↑ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bars Kazan
25.1%

Draw
23.2%

Lada Togliatti
51.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21%

21.7%

57.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.4%

21.1%

59%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bars Kazan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Lada Togliatti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lada Togliatti might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bars Kazan than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lada Togliatti than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lada Togliatti could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bars Kazan - Lada Togliatti Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bars won 2.

Recent matches Bars is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lada is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Bars could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Lada is a favorite.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Bars won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 53-51.

Including matches at home between the teams Bars won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 31-27.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Bars Kazan
VHL
22.09.22	Bars Kazan - Zvezda Moscow	1:2 ✺
20.09.22	Bars Kazan - AKM	5:4 OT ✺
15.09.22	Omskie Krylia - Bars Kazan	1:5 ✺
13.09.22	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Bars Kazan	4:3 penalties ✺
10.09.22	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - Bars Kazan	2:1 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWWLL
- HC Lada Togliatti
VHL
24.09.22	Lada Togliatti - Zvezda Moscow	4:1 ✺
22.09.22	Lada Togliatti - AKM	5:2 ✺
18.09.22	Lada Togliatti - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	1:2 penalties ✺
13.09.22	Omskie Krylia - Lada Togliatti	4:5 ✺
11.09.22	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Lada Togliatti	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Ice Hockey
29.08.22	Bars Kazan - Lada Togliatti	2:4
28.08.22	Bars Kazan - Lada Togliatti	2:1
12.08.22	Lada Togliatti - Bars Kazan	2:1
VHL
22.01.22	Lada Togliatti - Bars Kazan	2:3
04.10.21	Bars Kazan - Lada Togliatti	5:6 penalties
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
10.08.21	Lada Togliatti - Bars Kazan	2:1
26.04.21	Lada Togliatti - Bars Kazan	5:2

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