Match Info

RUSSIA: VHL

Date: 8 January 2023, Sunday

Location: Lada Arena (Togliatti)


	Lada Togliatti		Gornyak-UGMK

	1	X	2
	1.72	4	3.5
	1.75	4.01	3.51
	1.72	4.35	3.78	Watch
	1.75	4.1	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.63)	4.12 ↓ (4.3)	3.6 ↓ (4.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lada Togliatti
52.5%

Draw
22.1%

Gornyak-UGMK
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.3%

21.7%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

20.9%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lada Togliatti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Gornyak-UGMK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lada Togliatti than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lada Togliatti, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gornyak-UGMK than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gornyak-UGMK, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lada Togliatti - Gornyak UGMK Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lada won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Recently Lada have a series of guest games.

In this match Lada is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Lada won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 30-32.

Including matches at home between the teams Lada won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 19-19.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Lada Togliatti
VHL
25.12.22	Dizel Penza - Lada Togliatti	0:3 ✺
23.12.22	Tambov - Lada Togliatti	4:2 ✺
21.12.22	Khimik - Lada Togliatti	2:3 ✺
19.12.22	Ryazan - Lada Togliatti	3:1 ✺
11.12.22	Lada Togliatti - Molot Perm	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLWLW
- Gornyak-UGMK
VHL
06.01.23	Bars Kazan - Gornyak-UGMK	0:3 ✺
25.12.22	Gornyak-UGMK - Buran Voronezh	4:3 ✺
23.12.22	Gornyak-UGMK - Rostov	3:1 ✺
16.12.22	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Gornyak-UGMK	4:3 ✺
14.12.22	Chelmet - Gornyak-UGMK	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
18.10.22	Gornyak-UGMK - Lada Togliatti	1:5
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
14.08.22	Lada Togliatti - Gornyak-UGMK	3:0
VHL
28.01.22	Gornyak-UGMK - Lada Togliatti	6:2
27.09.21	Lada Togliatti - Gornyak-UGMK	3:4 penalties
02.02.21	Gornyak-UGMK - Lada Togliatti	3:2 penalties
20.09.20	Lada Togliatti - Gornyak-UGMK	1:6
29.09.19	Lada Togliatti - Gornyak-UGMK	3:2 OT

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