Match Info

RUSSIA: KHL

Date: 18 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Lada Arena (Togliatti)


	Lada Togliatti		Vityaz Balashikha

	1	X	2
	2.32	4.1	2.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.37)	4.1 ↑ (3.95)	2.85 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lada Togliatti
42%

Draw
23.8%

Vityaz Balashikha
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

24.5%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

23.5%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lada Togliatti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Vityaz Balashikha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lada Togliatti than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vityaz Balashikha than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	33.3%	16.7%

Lada Togliatti - Vityaz Balashikha Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Lada will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Vityaz will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
1. Trushkov A. (G)	31. Kareyev A. (G)
55. Berezin M.	53. Pedan R.
92. Sharakanov M.	79. Roy J. (A)
19. Chernikov Y.	72. Buchelnikov D.
70. Volkov A.	26. Barach D.
18. Kugryshev D.	82. Chekhovich I.
Line 2
42. Syomin V.	7. Busygin Y.
8. Barantsev D.	18. Stewart D.
66. Mikhailov N.	86. Vorobyov I.
12. Nekolenko A.	87. Tsitsyura V.
95. Gosudarev A.	21. Savchik I.
Line 3
15. Kalabushkin E.	2. Golovkov I. (A)
4. Ibragimov M.	9. Valentsov V.
43. Ozhgikhin A.	27. Yezhov I.
10. Fisenko M. (C)	23. Gauthier F.
88. Ivanyuzhenkov A.	93. Arkalov I.
Line 4
57. Sevostyanov A.	19. Malorosiyanov D.
84. Altybarmakyan A.	8. Zaseda M.
63. Groshev Y.	10. Galuzin V. (C)
24. Bikmullin R.	74. Makeyev A.
Substitutes
23. Chervonenko V.	98. Almazov N.
20. Tretiak M. (G)	44. Shikin D. (G)
Coaches
. Zubov P.	. Desyatkov P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
04:19, 1 - 0, Nekolenko A. (G), Sharakanov M. (A), Gosudarev A. (A2)
07:21, Syomin V. (2 min),
08:13, 1 - 1, Makeyev A. (G), Tsitsyura V. (A), Zaseda M. (A2)
17:03, Fisenko M. (5 min),
17:03, Busygin Y. (5 min),
2nd Period (0 - 4)
01:16, 1 - 2, Stewart D. (G), Tsitsyura V. (A),
03:18, 1 - 3, Stewart D. (G), Barach D. (A),
08:18, Syomin V. (2 min),
12:23, Nekolenko A. (2 min),
14:19, 1 - 4, Zaseda M. (G), Tsitsyura V. (A), Vorobyov I. (A2)
19:42, 1 - 5, Roy J. (G), Barach D. (A), Buchelnikov D. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
00:01, Trushkov A. ↓, Tretiak M. ↑,
00:56, 1 - 6, Vorobyov I. (G), Savchik I. (A), Stewart D. (A2)
04:55, Pedan R. (2 min),
12:54, 2 - 6, Nekolenko A. (G), Chervonenko V. (A), Syomin V. (A2)

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 9 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lada won 3.

Recent matches Lada is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Vityaz is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lada could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Lada have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Lada: Koltygin P. (Injury) Popugayev N. A. (Injury)

There will not play in Vityaz: Daryin A. (Injury) Kalinin S. (Injury) Vashchenko G. (Injury)

Last 11 head-to-head matches Lada won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 21:18 (average 1.9:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Lada won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13:7 (average 2.6:1.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Lada Togliatti - the odds 2.37 are the expected chance of winning is 40.88%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Lada Togliatti
KHL
16.01.25	Lada Togliatti - Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod	2:3 ✺
14.01.25	Lada Togliatti - Dinamo Minsk	6:4 ✺
12.01.25	Lada Togliatti - Kunlun	2:3 penalties ✺
09.01.25	Lada Togliatti - Barys Astana	1:0 ✺
07.01.25	Traktor Chelyabinsk - Lada Togliatti	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWLWL
- Vityaz Balashikha
KHL
15.01.25	Vityaz Balashikha - Sochi	2:1 OT ✺
12.01.25	Vityaz Balashikha - Severstal Cherepovets	1:2 ✺
07.01.25	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Vityaz Balashikha	3:0 ✺
05.01.25	SKA Saint Petersburg - Vityaz Balashikha	5:2 ✺
03.01.25	Kunlun - Vityaz Balashikha	3:2 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

KHL
13.09.24	Vityaz Balashikha - Lada Togliatti	1:2
20.01.24	Lada Togliatti - Vityaz Balashikha	2:1 penalties
28.09.23	Vityaz Balashikha - Lada Togliatti	1:0 OT
09.01.18	Vityaz Balashikha - Lada Togliatti	5:1
16.10.17	Lada Togliatti - Vityaz Balashikha	3:1
18.01.17	Vityaz Balashikha - Lada Togliatti	4:1
12.09.16	Lada Togliatti - Vityaz Balashikha	3:0

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