Match Info

KHL

Date: 13 March 2026, Friday

Location: Lada Arena (Togliatti)


	Lada Togliatti		Lokomotiv Yaroslavl

	1	X	2
	5	4.7	1.63
	5.13	4.82	1.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.07 ↓ (5.42)	4.76 ↓ (5.11)	1.61 ↑ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lada Togliatti
19.2%

Draw
20.4%

Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
60.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.9%

19%

63.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18%

19.1%

62.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lada Togliatti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Lokomotiv Yaroslavl has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lada Togliatti than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Yaroslavl than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	28.6%	14.3%

Lada Togliatti - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Lada will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Lokomotiv will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lada (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
60. Bocharov I. (G)	38. Melnichuk A. (G)
99. Makarov N.	28. Gernat M.
42. Syomin V. (C)	87. Rafikov R.
66. Mikhailov N.	72. Beryozkin M.
13. Sawchuk R. (A)	78. Shalunov M. (A)
76. Tyanulin A.	97. Volkov A.
Line 2
8. Zemchyonok A.	5. Bereglazov A. (A)
64. Belousov M.	4. Yelesin A. (C)
84. Altybarmakyan A. (A)	14. Panik R.
10. Chivilyov A.	51. Froese B.
18. Kugryshev D.	7. Kiryanov N.
Line 3
15. Lineitsev D.	73. Cherepanov N.
29. Bokun D.	93. Misyul D.
88. Setdikov N.	9. Nikolayev I.
21. Savchik I.	10. Ivanov G.
25. Romanov I.	13. Nikulin S.
Line 4
6. Morozov A.	49. Ulyev M.
55. Kalimullin M.	70. Surin Y.
98. Jurco T.	27. Kuzin A.
58. Obidin A.	90. Polunin A.
2. Vorfolomeyev M.
Substitutes
1. Trushkov A. (G)	92. Isayev D. (G)
	63. Kraskovsky P.
Coaches
. Desyatkov P.	. Hartley B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
10:01, 1 - 0, Mikhailov N. (G), Sawchuk R. (A), Tyanulin A. (A2)
11:36, Jurco T. (2 min),
18:10, Bokun D. (2 min),
19:19, 1 - 1, Shalunov M. (G), Volkov A. (A), Beryozkin M. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
07:55, Altybarmakyan A. (2 min),
15:11, 1 - 2, Shalunov M. (G), Beryozkin M. (A),
15:11, Chivilyov A. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 2)
06:18, 1 - 3, Polunin A. (G), Yelesin A. (A), Kiryanov N. (A2)
12:22, 2 - 3, Altybarmakyan A. (G), Bokun D. (A),
18:21, 2 - 4, Shalunov M. (G), Beryozkin M. (A),

Preview

Lokomotiv is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lada won 0.

Lada is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Lokomotiv is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Lokomotiv may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Lada has had a series of home games.

Recently, Lokomotiv has had a series of away games.

In this match, Lokomotiv is the team to beat.

We predict that Lokomotiv will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Lada won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 28:46. (average 1.8:2.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Lada won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:25. (average 1.7:3.6).

Outrights of KHL for now

Lokomotiv Yaroslavl: 16.47%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Lada Togliatti
KHL
11.03.26	Lada Togliatti - Severstal Cherepovets	1:3 ✺
08.03.26	Lada Togliatti - Spartak Moscow	2:5 ✺
07.03.26	Lada Togliatti - Spartak Moscow	1:7 ✺
03.03.26	Lada Togliatti - Ak Bars Kazan	5:3 ✺
01.03.26	Lada Togliatti - Shanghai Dragons	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LLLWL
- Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
KHL
11.03.26	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	4:1 ✺
09.03.26	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Severstal Cherepovets	4:3 OT ✺
04.03.26	Sochi - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	2:3 ✺
02.03.26	Severstal Cherepovets - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	2:3 penalties ✺
28.02.26	SKA Saint Petersburg - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

KHL
30.01.26	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Lada Togliatti	3:1
28.10.25	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Lada Togliatti	3:2
16.09.25	Lada Togliatti - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	1:6
17.09.24	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Lada Togliatti	2:1
05.09.24	Lada Togliatti - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	0:3
11.01.24	Lada Togliatti - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	2:3 penalties
23.11.23	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Lada Togliatti	2:1 OT

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