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Current Win Probability
Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 51.2%
Draw 22.7%
Dynamo Moscow 26.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.4%
23%
25.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.2%
25.6%
28.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lokomotiv Yaroslavl has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
Dynamo Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Yaroslavl than the current prediction. (-5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Moscow than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
76.9%
23.1%
0%
Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Dynamo Moscow Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Lokomotiv will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Lokomotiv: 54% – 99.8%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lokomotiv Yaroslavl will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
92. Isayev D. (G)
59. Podyapolsky V. (G)
99. Sergeyev A.
92. Ozhiganov I. (C)
87. Rafikov R. (A)
45. Pylenkov D.
72. Beryozkin M.
9. Slepyshev A. (A)
78. Shalunov M.
42. Galimov A.
16. Kayumov A.
71. Der-Arguchintsev S.
Line 2
93. Misyul D.
93. Sergeyev A.
4. Yelesin A. (C)
96. Sharakanov M.
70. Surin Y.
90. Sikura D.
10. Ivanov G.
91. Weal J.
47. Radulov A. (A)
97. Gusev N.
Line 3
73. Cherepanov N.
75. Patalakha M.
5. Bereglazov A.
44. Adamchuk K.
7. Kiryanov N.
25. Prokhorov D.
51. Froese B.
34. Ilyenko A. (A)
14. Panik R.
10. Comtois M.
Line 4
49. Ulyev M.
4. Kalinichenko R.
9. Nikolayev I.
98. Mamin M.
63. Kraskovsky P.
19. Zinchenko I.
13. Nikulin S.
87. Rimashevsky Y.
Substitutes
27. Kuzin A.
84. Artemyev S.
38. Melnichuk A. (G)
99. Motorygin M. (G)
Coaches
. Hartley B.
. Kozlov V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
00:28, Slepyshev A. (2 min),
03:40, Prokhorov D. (2 min),
04:27, 1 - 0, Rafikov R. (G), Sergeyev A. (A), Surin Y. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
03:38, 1 - 1, Gusev N. (G), Sikura D. (A), Weal J. (A2)
04:01, Bereglazov A. (2 min),
16:37, 2 - 1, Misyul D. (G),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
07:00, Comtois M. (2 min),
09:19, Zinchenko I. (2 min),
18:59, 3 - 1, Shalunov M. (G), Cherepanov N. (A),
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
Lokomotiv is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv won 2.
At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
Dynamo M may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Lokomotiv could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 41:40. (average 2.1:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Lokomotiv won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:16. (average 1.4:1.6).
Outrights of KHL for now
Lokomotiv Yaroslavl: 16.47% Dynamo Moscow: 4.32%
Last Results with these Odds
Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - the odds 1.89 are the expected chance of winning is 51.37%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.