Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 14 August 2025, Thursday


	Luleå		Kärpät

	1	X	2
	2.05	4.1	2.65
	2.14	4.25	2.65
	2.2	4.38	2.42
	2.25	4.31	2.50	Watch
	1.95	4	2.75
	2.15	3.95	2.68
	2.01	3.92	2.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (1.99)	4.13 ↑ (3.94)	2.66 ↓ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luleå
43.4%

Draw
22.2%

Kärpät
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

23.3%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luleå has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Kärpät has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Luleå - Kärpät Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Luleå (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Luleå will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
1. Sorqvist I. (G)	41. Rubin N. (G)
8. Hakansson W.	47. Bjork M.
29. Gustafsson E.	61. Salmela T.
25. Eriksson F.	38. Raty Aku
91. O'Neill B.	11. Virta P.
6. Hedqvist I.	27. Tardif B.
Line 2
5. Hammarlund E.	26. Tichacek J.
32. Engsund O.	65. Nutivaara M.
71. Ihs Wozniak J.	93. Kantner M.
96. Andreasson P.	33. Hirvonen R.
9. Liedes H.	8. Tieksola T.
Line 3
19. Hirsch N.	25. Paaso A.
51. Nurmi M.	55. Ohtamaa A.
13. Koivistoinen E.	22. Nikupeteri O.
86. Brome M.	29. Alasiurua A.
	18. Antti-Roiko A.
Line 4
11. Nilsson L.	7. Peltonen J.
10. Emanuelsson E.	39. Juusola V.
15. Granberg D.	51. Pietila B.
20. Juustovaara Karlsson C.	80. Korpimaki M.
	16. Heikkala V.
Substitutes
27. Thomasson D.	31. Vedenpaa V. (G)
31. Ward M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, (G),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
09', 2 - 0, (G),
3rd Period (2 - 0)
08', 3 - 0, (G),
13', 4 - 0, (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Luleå won 2.

Kärpät may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Luleå could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Luleå won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 35:42. (average 2.1:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Luleå won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:15. (average 2.4:1.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Kärpät - the odds 2.99 are the expected chance of winning is 30.66%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luleå HF
SHL
01.05.25	Luleå - Brynäs	5:2 ✺
28.04.25	Brynäs - Luleå	2:6 ✺
26.04.25	Luleå - Brynäs	3:5 ✺
23.04.25	Luleå - Brynäs	5:1 ✺
21.04.25	Brynäs - Luleå	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WWLWW
- Kärpat Oulu
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
10.08.25	RoKi - Kärpät	1:8 ✺
07.08.25	Vaasan Sport - Kärpät	4:7 ✺
Finnish SM-liiga
15.03.25	Kärpät - HIFK	1:2 ✺
14.03.25	HIFK - Kärpät	3:0 ✺
12.03.25	Tappara - Kärpät	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Ice Hockey
23.08.24	Kärpät - Luleå	3:2
22.08.24	Luleå - Kärpät	4:2
08.09.23	Kärpät - Luleå	0:1
30.08.23	Luleå - Kärpät	4:5 penalties
26.08.22	Kärpät - Luleå	3:1
18.08.22	Luleå - Kärpät	1:0
03.09.21	Kärpät - Luleå	0:4

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