Match Info
LiigaDate: 13 March 2026, FridayLocation: Helsinki Ice Hall (Helsinki)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
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HIFK |
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Kärpät |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
- The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
HIFK
54% | Draw
21.8% | Kärpät
24.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HIFK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)Kärpät has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for HIFK than the current prediction. (-5.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with HIFK that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kärpät than the current prediction. (+4.5%)Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. HIFK will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Kärpät will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. HIFK (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2 
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Lineups
| Line 1 |
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60.  Alnefelt H. (G)
| 41. Rubin N. (G)
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40.  Lindbohm P.
| 26.  Tichacek J.
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6. Sund T.
| 25. Paaso A.
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43.  Marleau V.
| 38. Raty Aku
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21. Lehtera J. (A)
| 33. Hirvonen R.
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77. Kodytek P.
| 18. Antti-Roiko A.
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| Line 2 |
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33. Kiviharju A.
| 55. Ohtamaa A. (C)
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11. Melart I. (A)
| 9. Soini K.
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81. Pakarinen I. (C)
| 93. Kantner M.
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18. Uronen A.
| 11. Virta P. (A)
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93. Vanhatalo L.
| 73. Erholtz E. (A)
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| Line 3 |
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98.  Larsen O.
| 58. Hakanpaa J.
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10. Ragnarsson J.
| 61. Salmela T.
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29. Repo S.
| 12. Stalberg S.
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47.  Ashbrook T.
| 19. Tikka T.
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71. Makiaho D.
| 13. Junttila J.
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| Line 4 |
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90. Salmela S.
| 39. Juusola V.
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52. Palmu P.
| 51. Pietila B.
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15. Somppi O.
| 28. Ojantakanen K.
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54. Somervuori J.
| 59. Hermonen J.
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| Substitutes |
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73. Kohonen P. (G)
| 31. Vedenpaa V. (G)
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| Coaches |
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. Jokinen O.
| . Karjalainen P.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Period (1 - 0)
- 04:00, 1 - 0, Vanhatalo L. (G), Melart I. (A), Uronen A. (A2)
- 06:47, (2 min),
- 06:59, Lehtera J. (2 min),
- 13:37, Marleau V. (2 min),
- 16:49, Lindbohm P. (2 min),
- 16:49, Raty Aku (2 min),
- 2nd Period (0 - 0)
- 02:45, Erholtz E. (2 min),
- 16:10, Hakanpaa J. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (2 - 1)
- 06:15, Larsen O. (2 min),
- 18:09, 2 - 0, Ashbrook T. (G), Sund T. (A), Alnefelt H. (A2)
- 19:02, 2 - 1, Erholtz E. (G), Hirvonen R. (A),
- 19:50, 3 - 1, Vanhatalo L. (G), Ashbrook T. (A), Sund T. (A2)
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 15).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HIFK won 4.HIFK is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).Kärpät is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Kärpät may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.Recently, HIFK has had a series of away games. In this match, HIFK is considered a favorite.We predict that HIFK will win today's game, with odds of 1.76.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, HIFK won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 58:41. (average 2.9:2.1).Including home matches between the teams, HIFK won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 29:19. (average 3.2:2.1).
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Last Results with these Odds
Kärpät - the odds 3.25 are the expected chance of winning is 27.25%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Finnish SM-liiga | | | 06.02.26 | HIFK - Kärpät | 3:2 | | 05.12.25 | Kärpät - HIFK | 0:1 | | 15.11.25 | Kärpät - HIFK | 5:2 | | 14.11.25 | HIFK - Kärpät | 4:3 penalties | | 15.03.25 | Kärpät - HIFK | 1:2 | | 14.03.25 | HIFK - Kärpät | 3:0 | | 15.02.25 | Kärpät - HIFK | 2:3 |
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