The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
HIFK 40.6%
Draw 23%
Kärpät 36.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
41.7%
22.3%
36%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.9%
23.4%
32.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HIFK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
Kärpät has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for HIFK than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kärpät than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
HIFK - Kärpät Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
60. Alnefelt H. (G)
32. Vedenpaa V. (G)
27. Ahlroth J.
21. Matinmikko A.
25. Nassen L.
25. Paaso A.
43. Marleau V.
93. Kantner M.
77. Leschyshyn J.
31. Koivistoinen E. (A)
72. Liukas E. (A)
27. Ratinen S.
Line 2
28. Pilo L.
9. Soini K.
83. Nemecek D.
26. Tichacek J.
88. Huuhtanen N. (A)
73. Erholtz E. (C)
81. Pakarinen I. (C)
33. Hirvonen R.
71. Makiaho D.
82. Pakkila E.
Line 3
13. Arkko V.
4. Ruotsalainen V.
11. Melart I.
2. Rissanen R.
19. Leppanen O.
62. Nilsson W.
12. Joki A.
11. Tornqvist H.
93. Vanhatalo L.
16. Okany A.
Line 4
37. Sippola O.
61. Salmela T. (A)
67. Puutio K.
18. Antti-Roiko A.
42. Sinivuori L.
80. Korpimaki M.
18. Uronen A.
59. Hermonen J.
54. Somervuori J.
Substitutes
53. Varonen V. (G)
41. Rubin N. (G)
8. Tieksola T.
Coaches
. Jokinen O.
. Karjalainen P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
03:35, 1 - 0, Makiaho D. (G), Ahlroth J. (A), Nassen L. (A2)
12:52, Sippola O. (2 min),
13:11, Nilsson W. (2 min),
13:11, Pakarinen I. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
05:12, Vanhatalo L. (2 min),
05:34, 1 - 1, Hirvonen R. (G), Tichacek J. (A), Nilsson W. (A2)
10:18, Korpimaki M. (2 min),
13:37, Pakkila E. (2 min),
15:29, 2 - 1, Marleau V. (G), Somervuori J. (A), Nassen L. (A2)
19:00, Arkko V. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
19:18, 3 - 1, Marleau V. (G), Vanhatalo L. (A), Ahlroth J. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HIFK won 4.
Recent results have been tough for HIFK (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Kärpät have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Kärpät may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Kärpät has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, HIFK has recorded 15 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 61:43 (averaging 3.1:2.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for HIFK against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 32:20 goals (averaging 3.2:2 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
6
Karpat
19
7
4
4
4
52:50
33
13
IFK Helsinki
18
6
1
4
7
50:55
24
Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now
IFK Helsinki: 5.38%
Last Results with these Odds
HIFK - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 41.65%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Kärpät - the odds 2.59 are the expected chance of winning is 36.02%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
Finland
Sweden
Watch
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Alnefelt H. (G) 
Vedenpaa V. (G) 
Marleau V. 
Kantner M. 
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