Match Info

Champions League - Round 5

Date: 7 October 2025, Tuesday

Location: CPP Arena (Hradec Kralove)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Sport 2
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Mountfield Hradec Králové		KalPa

	1	X	2
	1.77	4.2	3.3	Watch
	1.8	4.63	3.57
	1.69	4.33	3.98
	1.82	4.41	3.38	Watch
	1.83	4.3	3.53	Watch
	2.25	4.3	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2.3)	4.36 ↑ (4.23)	3.37 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mountfield Hradec Králové
50.6%

Draw
21.6%

KalPa
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

22%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

21.6%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mountfield Hradec Králové has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mountfield Hradec Králové's performance.

KalPa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and KalPa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mountfield Hradec Králové than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mountfield Hradec Králové that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KalPa than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that KalPa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Mountfield Hradec Králové - KalPa Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Mountfield will win (votes: 6 - 75%). KalPa will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mountfield: 45% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5, OT - KalPa (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Mountfield Hradec Králové will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Mountfield (votes: 8 - 80%). KalPa (votes: 2 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
35. Novotny F. (G)	35. Rovio T. (G)
23. Melancon T.J.	6. Westerlund F.
51. Vukojevic M.	7. Mononen V.
7. Nenonen M.	20. Klemetti A.
25. Tamasi A.	71. Curry P.
94. Perret J.	9. Maenpaa J.
Line 2
12. McCormack G.	97. Kanak L.
39. Kivisto T.	3. Karlsson A.
69. Radil L.	42. Kapanen K.
34. Klima Kev.	17. Korhonen B.
98. Pavlik R.	25. Pakarinen R.
Line 3
62. Pilar R.	4. Hintikka J.
72. Dlapa O.	72. Rasanen I.
64. Pour J.	41. Kononen J.
74. Bunnaman C.	16. Okany A.
95. Batna O.	15. Korkiakoski T.
Line 4
44. Senkerik P.	10. Miilunpohja R.
82. Simek P.	12. Saarelainen J.
30. Gaso A.	5. Timofejev D.
13. Hasek P.
Substitutes
31. Skorvanek S. (G)	31. Kerkola P. (G)
Coaches
. Martinec T.	. Tervonen S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
08:39, Westerlund F. (2 min),
13:18, Perret J. (2 min),
13:39, 0 - 1, Maenpaa J. (G), Korhonen B. (A), Klemetti A. (A2)
18:07, Klemetti A. (2 min),
19:08, Westerlund F. (2 min),
19:52, 1 - 1, Klima Kev. (G), Nenonen M. (A), McCormack G. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 3)
03:46, 1 - 2, Kapanen K. (G), Pakarinen R. (A),
05:18, 1 - 3, Curry P. (G), Timofejev D. (A),
05:47, Vukojevic M. (2 min),
17:33, 1 - 4, Rasanen I. (G), Hintikka J. (A), Saarelainen J. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
04:16, Korhonen B. (2 min),
06:27, 1 - 5, Kapanen K. (G), Korhonen B. (A),
17:27, Bunnaman C. (2 min),

Preview

KalPa is Qualified for Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

KalPa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Mountfield could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

KalPa - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 37.57%, but this team recently wins 48% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mountfield Hradec Králové
Czech Extraliga
05.10.25	Mountfield Hradec Králové - Bílí Tygři Liberec	4:3 OT ✺
03.10.25	Sparta Prague - Mountfield Hradec Králové	0:2 ✺
30.09.25	Mountfield Hradec Králové - Olomouc	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	Vítkovice Steel - Mountfield Hradec Králové	0:4 ✺
26.09.25	Mountfield Hradec Králové - Verva Litvínov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WWLWW
- KalPa hockey
Finnish SM-liiga
04.10.25	KalPa - HIFK	3:0 ✺
03.10.25	Pelicans - KalPa	0:1 penalties ✺
27.09.25	KalPa - Ilves	5:4 OT ✺
24.09.25	KalPa - Ässät	4:7 ✺
20.09.25	TPS - KalPa	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWWLW

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