Match Info

VHL

Date: 2 October 2026, Friday


	Zvezda Moscow		Dinamo St. Petersburg

	1	X	2
	2.19	3.47	2.54
	2.12	3.35	2.45
	2.34	3.94	2.56	Watch
	2.24	3.75	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.49)	3.63 ↓ (3.98)	2.51 ↑ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zvezda Moscow
40%

Draw
24.5%

Dinamo St. Petersburg
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

23.5%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

26.3%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zvezda Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Dinamo St. Petersburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zvezda Moscow than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dinamo St. Petersburg than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Zvezda Moscow - Dinamo St. Petersburg Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Zvezda Moscow (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
34. Tabatchikov V. (G)	74. Podsukha I. (G)
15. Alexandrov D. (C)	38. Berdyukov G. (C)
63. Martynov Y.	67. Sarayev V.
69. Maistrenko O.	31. Mikhailov V.
94. Tochilkin A.	90. Kozlov I.
56. Vlasenko D.	96. Zinchenko I.
Line 2
36. Shelkov M.	19. Shepelev A.
23. Grushnikov A.	79. Gusev M. M.
87. Yapparov Y.	57. Golikov M.
98. Pankratov S. (A)	9. Davydov D.
97. Churkin A.	56. Kazakovtsev I.
Line 3
44. Stanislavskiy D.	86. Ryabykin Y.
73. Rusakov A.	26. Salakhov M. (A)
39. Sklokin M.	22. Anokhovsky N.
75. Averochkin M.	12. Rasskazov K.
74. Frolov N.	24. Avershin D.
Line 4
86. Gubanov A.	91. Savushkin K.
19. Prokhorov A. (A)	43. Kalinin M.
14. Gusniyev A.	58. Ilyin D. (A)
37. Mikhailov N.	99. Boikov L.
Substitutes
81. Kloberdanets M. (G)	73. Nazarov Y. (G)
42. Savvateyev V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
07:54, 0 - 1, Berdyukov G. (G), Mikhailov V. (A), Kozlov I. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
10:20, 0 - 2, Ryabykin Y. (G), Golikov M. (A), Gusev M. M. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 2)
02:40, 0 - 3, Golikov M. (G), Sarayev V. (A), Kazakovtsev I. (A2)
05:40, 0 - 4, Anokhovsky N. (G), Kazakovtsev I. (A), Ryabykin Y. (A2)
14:31, 1 - 4, Sklokin M. (G), Tochilkin A. (A), Vlasenko D. (A2)
16:32, 2 - 4, Tochilkin A. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zvezda Moscow won 2.

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Dinamo SP could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Both teams have recently been through a succession of home fixtures.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Zvezda Moscow has recorded 9 wins, 0 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 48:57 (averaging 2.4:2.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Zvezda Moscow against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 24:24 goals (averaging 2.7:2.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
19	Dinamo St. Petersburg	11	4	1	1	5	30:36	11
26	Zvezda Moscow	12	2	2	1	7	26:37	9

Last Results with these Odds

Zvezda Moscow - the odds 2.49 are the expected chance of winning is 37.49%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zvezda Moscow
VHL
30.09.26	Zvezda Moscow - SKA-VMF	1:3 ✺
24.09.26	Zvezda Moscow - Gornyak-UGMK	2:3 ✺
22.09.26	Zvezda Moscow - Chelmet	1:2 ✺
20.09.26	Zvezda Moscow - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	4:2 ✺
18.09.26	Zvezda Moscow - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLLWW
- HC Dinamo St. Petersburg
VHL
30.09.26	Khimik - Dinamo St. Petersburg	4:3 AET ✺
22.09.26	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Gornyak-UGMK	2:3 ✺
20.09.26	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Chelmet	4:3 penalties ✺
18.09.26	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	3:1 ✺
16.09.26	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	0:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
22.02.26	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Zvezda Moscow	1:4
25.09.25	Zvezda Moscow - Dinamo St. Petersburg	1:2
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
11.08.25	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Zvezda Moscow	2:3
VHL
21.01.25	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Zvezda Moscow	3:2
30.10.24	Zvezda Moscow - Dinamo St. Petersburg	2:6
16.02.24	Zvezda Moscow - Dinamo St. Petersburg	5:4 OT
05.09.23	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Zvezda Moscow	3:2

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