The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tampa Bay Lightning 46.1%
Draw 21.9%
New York Islanders 32%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
50%
21.6%
28.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.6%
20.9%
27.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tampa Bay Lightning has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
New York Islanders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tampa Bay Lightning, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Islanders than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
35.7%
21.4%
42.9%
Tampa Bay Lightning - New York Islanders Predictions
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Tampa Bay will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). NY Islanders will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for NY Islanders: 17% โ 68.8%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tampa Bay (votes: 1 - 33.3%). NY Islanders (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Lineups
Line 1
31. Johansson J. (G)
30. Sorokin I. (G)
77. Hedman V.
6. Pulock R. (A)
90. Moser J.J.
48. Schaefer M.
86. Kucherov N. (A)
49. Shabanov M.
71. Cirelli A.
14. Horvat B. (A)
38. Hagel B. (A)
51. Heineman E.
Line 2
78. Lilleberg E.
77. DeAngelo A.
51. D'Astous C.
3. Pelech A.
22. Bjorkstrand O.
7. Tsyplakov M.
20. Paul N.
13. Barzal M.
59. Guentzel J. (A)
27. Lee A. (C)
Line 3
24. Crozier M.
24. Mayfield S.
43. Raddysh D.
34. Boqvist A.
29. Holmberg P.
11. Duclair A.
37. Gourde Y.
64. Ritchie C.
28. Girgensons Z.
10. Holmstrom S.
Line 4
93. Goncalves G.
16. Gatcomb M.
17. James D.
53. Cizikas C.
42. Douglas C.
32. Maclean K.
Substitutes
33. Halverson B. (G)
33. Rittich D. (G)
Coaches
. Cooper J.
. Roy P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
03:31, Hedman V. (2 min),
05:58, Lee A. (2 min),
11:07, Horvat B. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 2)
10:14, Hagel B. (2 min),
12:46, 0 - 1, Ritchie C. (G), Lee A. (A), DeAngelo A. (A2)
18:58, 0 - 2, Cizikas C. (G),
Preview
The most interesting match of the day โ two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 3.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Recently, NY Islanders has had a series of home games.
Tampa Bay might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Tampa Bay: Cernak E.
(Injury)
McDonagh R.
(Injury)
Vasilevski A.
(Injury)
There will not play in NY Islanders: Bear E.
(Injury)
Engvall P.
(Ankle Injury)
Pageau J.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Palmieri K.
(Knee Injury)
Romanov A.
(Shoulder Injury)
Varlamov S.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Tampa Bay: Hedman V.
(Injury)
Point B.
(Injury)
There are questionable in NY Islanders: Drouin J.
(Back Injury)
We predict that Tampa Bay will win today's game, with odds of 1.89.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 68:44. (average 3.4:2.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Tampa Bay won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 40:15. (average 4:1.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Tampa Bay Lightning - the odds 1.89 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.
New York Islanders - the odds 3.33 are the expected chance of winning is 28.38%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.
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Johansson J. (G) 
Sorokin I. (G) 
Pulock R. (A) 
Moser J.J. 
Lilleberg E. 
DeAngelo A. 
Bjorkstrand O. 
Girgensons Z. 
Rittich D. (G) 
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