The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
New York Rangers 42.7%
Draw 23%
Toronto Maple Leafs 34.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.6%
23.1%
37.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.3%
22.7%
36.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New York Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
Toronto Maple Leafs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Rangers than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
30%
50%
New York Rangers - Toronto Maple Leafs Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. NY Rangers will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Toronto will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%). Confidence interval (95%) for Toronto: 19% – 81%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. NY Rangers (votes: 1 - 25%). Toronto (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Lineups
Line 1
31. Shesterkin I. (G)
60. Woll J. (G)
23. Fox A.
25. Carlo B.
44. Gavrikov V.
44. Rielly M.
94. Perreault G.
88. Nylander W.
93. Zibanejad M.
34. Matthews A.
50. Cuylle W.
53. Cowan E.
Line 2
17. Borgen W.
28. Stecher T.
4. Schneider B.
22. McCabe J.
13. Lafreniere A.
11. Domi M.
16. Trocheck V.
91. Tavares J.
14. Raddysh T.
23. Knies M.
Line 3
6. Iorio V.
51. Myers P.
29. Robertson M.
2. Benoit S.
43. Sheary C.
81. Joshua D.
42. Laba N.
26. Quillan J.
24. Kartye T.
63. Maccelli M.
Line 4
71. Parssinen J.
19. Jarnkrok C.
39. Carrick S.
18. Lorentz S.
84. Edstrom A.
89. Robertson N.
Substitutes
32. Quick J. (G)
41. Stolarz A. (G)
Coaches
. Sullivan M.
. Berube C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
00:13, 0 - 1, Maccelli M. (G), Nylander W. (A),
00:38, Maccelli M. (2 min),
06:45, 1 - 1, Cuylle W. (G), Schneider B. (A),
15:34, Parssinen J. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
05:27, 1 - 2, Cowan E. (G), Knies M. (A), Tavares J. (A2)
06:06, Rielly M. (2 min),
07:29, 2 - 2, Gavrikov V. (G), Raddysh T. (A), Brodzinski J. (A2)
3rd Period (4 - 0)
05:38, 3 - 2, Lafreniere A. (G), Zibanejad M. (A),
10:27, 4 - 2, Chmelar J. (G),
11:19, 5 - 2, Zibanejad M. (G), Lafreniere A. (A), Fox A. (A2)
17:09, 6 - 2, Cuylle W. (G), Lafreniere A. (A), Zibanejad M. (A2)
Preview
In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY Rangers won 1.
NY Rangers has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Toronto is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Toronto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, NY Rangers has had a series of home games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in NY Rangers: Edstrom A.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Miller J.T.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Rempe M.
(Finger Injury)
There will not play in Toronto: Tanev C.
(Abdominal strain)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, NY Rangers won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 59:60. (average 3:3).
Including home matches between the teams, NY Rangers won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 31:35. (average 3.1:3.5).
Outrights of NHL for now
Toronto Maple Leafs: 2.45% New York Rangers: 1.18%
Last Results with these Odds
New York Rangers - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 39.62%, but this team recently wins 28% of matches with these odds.
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Shesterkin I. (G) 
Woll J. (G) 
Rielly M. 
Nylander W. 
Maccelli M. 
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