Match Info

OHL

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Meridian Centre (St. Catharines, ON)


	Niagara IceDogs		Sarnia Sting

	1	X	2
	1.75	4.35	3.4
	1.65	4.71	3.71	Watch
	1.53	4.6	4.2
	1.6	4.5	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.73)	4.54 ↑ (4.33)	3.77 ↑ (3.44)

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Niagara IceDogs
55.8%

Draw
20.1%

Sarnia Sting
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

21%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9%

20.8%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Niagara IceDogs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Sarnia Sting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Niagara IceDogs than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarnia Sting than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Yermolenko V. (G)	32. Quinlan P. (G)
72. Barnes B.	6. Aucoin C.
7. Cheynowski C.	33. Aucoin K.
12. Czata E. (A)	61. Bax J.
27. Dell'Elce S.	40. Beamish L.
44. Doherty S.	23. Brown R.
17. Edgar R.	84. Challenger T.
26. Frolov A.	17. Di Iorio A. (C)
92. Galiyanov I.	81. Edwards B. (A)
9. Hage A.	71. Gaughan C.
11. He K. (C)	77. Hurt H. (A)
6. Knauft J.	93. Lammens B.
21. Patterson R.	12. Pickell B.
93. Read N.	7. Reese J.
16. Reid H.	28. Simpson R.
25. Roobroeck R. (A)	19. Solomon H.
43. Smith R.	14. Van Volsen J.
49. Spencer L.	11. Walos E.
8. Tiller G.	5. Young M. (A)
Substitutes
77. Robertson C. (G)	30. Maillet E. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
04:48, 0 - 1, Brown R. (G), Pickell B. (A), Quinlan P. (A2)
07:18, 1 - 1, Doherty S. (G), Read N. (A), Edgar R. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
02:55, 1 - 2, Walos E. (G), Brown R. (A), Pickell B. (A2)
17:35, 2 - 2, Roobroeck R. (G), Dell'Elce S. (A), Galiyanov I. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
08:21, 3 - 2, Patterson R. (G), Doherty S. (A), Tiller G. (A2)
19:54, 3 - 3, Van Volsen J. (G), Brown R. (A), Edwards B. (A2)
Overtime (1 - 0)
00:44, 4 - 3, Patterson R. (G),

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: ) and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Niagara won 3.

Niagara is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Sarnia has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Niagara could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Niagara won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 82:82. (average 4.1:4.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Niagara won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 45:42. (average 4.5:4.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Sarnia Sting - the odds 3.44 are the expected chance of winning is 26.49%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Niagara IceDogs
OHL
19.12.25	Niagara IceDogs - Flint Firebirds	3:4 ✺
18.12.25	Peterborough Petes - Niagara IceDogs	5:2 ✺
14.12.25	Niagara IceDogs - North Bay Battalion	3:7 ✺
13.12.25	Barrie Colts - Niagara IceDogs	2:1 ✺
11.12.25	Niagara IceDogs - London Knights	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLLLW
- Sarnia Sting
OHL
19.12.25	Erie Otters - Sarnia Sting	6:2 ✺
17.12.25	Sarnia Sting - Kitchener Rangers	2:5 ✺
14.12.25	Sarnia Sting - Guelph Storm	6:4 ✺
13.12.25	Flint Firebirds - Sarnia Sting	2:3 OT ✺
12.12.25	Guelph Storm - Sarnia Sting	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.5 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

OHL
03.10.25	Sarnia Sting - Niagara IceDogs	3:4
08.11.24	Niagara IceDogs - Sarnia Sting	4:3
25.10.24	Sarnia Sting - Niagara IceDogs	3:4
29.10.23	Sarnia Sting - Niagara IceDogs	4:3 penalties
20.10.23	Niagara IceDogs - Sarnia Sting	2:3 OT
26.03.23	Niagara IceDogs - Sarnia Sting	4:10
22.10.22	Sarnia Sting - Niagara IceDogs	5:4

Niagara IceDogs - Sarnia Sting: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide