The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Flint Firebirds 52.9%
Draw 19.5%
Guelph Storm 27.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.8%
20.6%
26.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.1%
21.5%
25.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Flint Firebirds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
Guelph Storm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flint Firebirds than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guelph Storm than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
100%
0%
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Vaccari M. (G)
55. Ellsworth C. (G)
19. Allen D.
17. Babin P.
22. Anderson D.
13. Beauchesne Q. (A)
76. Aspinall N. (C)
3. Frossard E.
18. Beauchesne C.
14. Johnston S.
27. Bonnyman J.
93. McFadden W.
73. Colosimo C.
72. McKenzie H.
13. Colosimo J.
8. Mclean A.
88. Cunningham R.
15. Miedema E.
14. Graziano L.
22. Pape M.
20. Komadoski G.
23. Paquette C. (C)
47. Kostov A. (A)
20. Serlin L.
10. Lombardi J. (A)
4. Singh R.
68. Murata C.
9. Snelgrove P.
95. Pazii I.
28. Soares C.
98. Podrekar U. (A)
21. Spada G.
81. Tessier X.
96. Stevens C.
9. Thibodeau C.
12. Topp R. (A)
8. Uljanskis D.
77. Wycisk J.
Substitutes
55. Courville M. (G)
30. Jovanovski Z. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (3 - 1)
03:52, 1 - 0, Uljanskis D. (G), Aspinall N. (A), Kostov A. (A2)
15:02, 2 - 0, Aspinall N. (G), Anderson D. (A), Lombardi J. (A2)
16:15, 3 - 0, Lombardi J. (G), Aspinall N. (A), Uljanskis D. (A2)
16:50, 3 - 1, Wycisk J. (G), Stevens C. (A), Frossard E. (A2)
2nd Period (4 - 0)
04:23, 4 - 1, Thibodeau C. (G), Anderson D. (A), Lombardi J. (A2)
07:39, 5 - 1, Allen D. (G),
10:47, 6 - 1, Aspinall N. (G), Uljanskis D. (A),
15:13, 7 - 1, Allen D. (G), Kostov A. (A), Cunningham R. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
01:11, 8 - 1, Tessier X. (G), Thibodeau C. (A), Kostov A. (A2)
08:45, 9 - 1, Aspinall N. (G), Uljanskis D. (A),
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Flint won 3.
Flint has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Guelph is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Recently, Flint has had a series of away games.
Recently, Guelph has had a series of home games.
Flint might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Flint won 11 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 84:64. (average 4.2:3.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Flint won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 39:31. (average 3.9:3.1).