Match Info

VHL

Date: 18 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Olimp-Arena (Kirovo-Chepetsk)


	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk		Gornyak-UGMK

	1	X	2
	3.6	4.14	1.85
	3.65	4.05	1.83	Watch
	3.4	3.75	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.55 ↑ (3.24)	3.98 ↑ (3.88)	1.8 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk
25.9%

Draw
23.1%

Gornyak-UGMK
51%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.9%

24.2%

46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

24.5%

46.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Gornyak-UGMK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gornyak-UGMK than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Olympia Kirovo Chepetsk - Gornyak UGMK Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
48. Kuznetsov G. (G)	93. Romashkin P. (G)
91. Lyakhov A.	22. Molodtsov D.
79. Gusev M. M.	50. Shchemerov A.
86. Korobintsev V.	32. Borisov S.
26. Fischenko I. (A)	29. Khremkin K.
59. Sorokin D.	80. Demidovich V.
Line 2
74. Antipin V.	85. Zhuravlyov Y.
4. Fedotov A. (C)	72. Trofimov Y.
93. Korenev I.	96. Miller N.
25. Pikov M. (A)	14. Makhrin M. (A)
34. Ponomaryov T.	44. Lukhovskoy N.
Line 3
89. Gainullin I.	4. Bolshakov M.
18. Tolpegin D.	95. Dumchenko N.
36. Aksyonov A.	7. Gordin A.
31. Shiafotdinov K.	13. Zaytsev O. (C)
24. Pishchalnikov P.	56. Ovchinnikov I. (A)
Line 4
28. Zaitsev D.	26. Ishimnikov N.
7. Myslyayev S.	87. Loza I.
16. Pasmanik L.	18. Sushchev V.
14. Drobin A.	36. Egorov E.
15. Novokshenov I.
Substitutes
1. Chechelev D. (G)	35. Tulinov N. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
09:02, 1 - 0, Fischenko I. (G), Gusev M. M. (A), Sorokin D. (A2)
15:17, 2 - 0, Korenev I. (G), Antipin V. (A), Fedotov A. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 2)
02:48, 2 - 1, Sushchev V. (G), Egorov E. (A),
05:28, 3 - 1, Drobin A. (G), Pishchalnikov P. (A), Lyakhov A. (A2)
14:24, 3 - 2, Borisov S. (G), Shchemerov A. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

Gornyak-UGMK is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Kirovo-Chepetsk is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Gornyak-UGMK has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Kirovo-Chepetsk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Kirovo-Chepetsk has had a series of home games.

In this match, Gornyak-UGMK is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Kirovo-Chepetsk won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 3.3:4.7).

Including home match between the teams, Kirovo-Chepetsk won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
24	Olympia	12	3	1	1	7	33:39	9

Last Results with these Odds

Gornyak-UGMK - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 46.89%, but this team recently wins 62% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk
VHL
16.03.26	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Chelmet	4:1 ✺
14.03.26	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	4:3 OT ✺
12.03.26	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	3:1 ✺
07.03.26	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Molot Perm	2:1 penalties ✺
05.03.26	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Toros Neftekamsk	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26 WWWWW
- Gornyak-UGMK
VHL
16.03.26	Molot Perm - Gornyak-UGMK	4:3 penalties ✺
14.03.26	Toros Neftekamsk - Gornyak-UGMK	2:3 OT ✺
12.03.26	Izhstal - Gornyak-UGMK	2:5 ✺
02.03.26	Gornyak-UGMK - Kristall Saratov	6:2 ✺
28.02.26	Gornyak-UGMK - Dizel Penza	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
08.09.25	Gornyak-UGMK - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	7:3
21.12.24	Gornyak-UGMK - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	4:5
26.11.24	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Gornyak-UGMK	2:3 OT

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