The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Oshawa Generals 25.5%
Draw 18.3%
Guelph Storm 56.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.2%
19.6%
50.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.7%
21.9%
45.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oshawa Generals has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
Guelph Storm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guelph Storm's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oshawa Generals than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oshawa Generals, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guelph Storm than the current prediction. (-11.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guelph Storm, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Cholette J. (G)
30. Jovanovski Z. (G)
16. Blaseg B.
86. Avery J.
13. Byrd-Leitner P.
13. Beauchesne Q. (A)
14. Cormier B.
89. Belohorsky S.
26. Feeley C.
3. Frossard E.
8. Figliomeni A.
73. Gallacher L.
12. Franssen H.
75. Haponenko M.
98. Frolov A.
91. Hopkins T. (A)
96. Griffin O.
19. Jenken N.
20. Hilton C.
93. McFadden W.
78. Kalto O.
72. McKenzie H.
86. Laschon L.
15. Miedema E.
4. Moore L.
20. Serlin L.
3. Murnane B.
81. Shybinskyi I.
24. Posthumus L.
9. Snelgrove P.
71. Roberts S.
21. Spada G.
42. Sang R.
96. Stevens C.
29. Smirnov V.
12. Topp R. (A)
11. Timmerman A.
77. Wycisk J.
28. Wang M.
Substitutes
32. Humphries M. (G)
55. Ellsworth C. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
01:01, 0 - 1, Hopkins T. (G), Wycisk J. (A), Jenken N. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 0)
11:11, 1 - 1, Franssen H. (Penalty Shot),
19:21, 2 - 1, Posthumus L. (G), Moore L. (A), Byrd-Leitner P. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
05:32, 3 - 1, Kalto O. (G), Griffin O. (A),
17:30, 4 - 1, Kalto O. (G), Griffin O. (A), Laschon L. (A2)
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oshawa won 2.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Recently, Oshawa has had a series of away games.
Guelph might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Oshawa won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 81:67. (average 4.1:3.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Oshawa won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 31:30. (average 3.4:3.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Oshawa Generals - the odds 3.05 are the expected chance of winning is 30.16%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Cholette J. (G) 
Byrd-Leitner P. 
Belohorsky S. 
Haponenko M. 
Frolov A. 
Kalto O. 
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