Match Info

OHL

Date: 4 December 2025, Thursday

Location: Peterborough Memorial Centre (Peterborough, ON)


	Peterborough Petes		Flint Firebirds

	1	X	2
	2.94	4.24	1.94
	3.03	4.36	1.89	Watch
	2.88	4.2	1.95
	2.95	4	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↑ (2.37)	4.2 ↑ (4.13)	1.92 ↓ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peterborough Petes
30.9%

Draw
21.7%

Flint Firebirds
47.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

21.8%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

20.2%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peterborough Petes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Peterborough Petes's form might have worsened.

Flint Firebirds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Flint Firebirds's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peterborough Petes than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flint Firebirds than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Rye E. (G)	1. Vaccari M. (G)
15. Cameron C. (C)	19. Allen D.
91. DiCunzolo G.	22. Anderson D.
28. Faulkner B.	76. Aspinall N. (C)
88. Gowan B.	27. Bonnyman J.
4. Hartnell C.	13. Colosimo J.
10. Levac A.	88. Cunningham R.
3. Marentette T.	65. Fellinger R.
29. McCallum B. (A)	14. Graziano L.
16. Novotny A.	47. Kostov A. (A)
11. Partridge B.	10. Lombardi J. (A)
72. Perreault M.	4. Morgan B.
71. Petrovski J.	68. Murata C.
5. Raynor K.	7. Paul J.
92. Soto M.	95. Pazii I.
6. Strohack G.	98. Podrekar U. (A)
7. Ula G.	11. Smith B.
26. Young A.	8. Uljanskis D.
	28. Wang M.
Substitutes
34. Johnston M. (G)	55. Courville M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
17:49, 1 - 0, Novotny A. (G), Levac A. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
13:29, 2 - 0, Young A. (G), Soto M. (A), Novotny A. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 2)
04:53, 2 - 1, Uljanskis D. (G), Allen D. (A), Lombardi J. (A2)
10:05, 3 - 1, Novotny A. (G), Levac A. (A), Soto M. (A2)
12:21, 3 - 2, Anderson D. (G), Uljanskis D. (A), Aspinall N. (A2)

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: ))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peterborough won 0.

Peterborough has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Flint is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Peterborough may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Peterborough won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 52:56. (average 3.3:3.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Peterborough won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 27:24. (average 3.4:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peterborough Petes
OHL
30.11.25	Niagara IceDogs - Peterborough Petes	3:6 ✺
29.11.25	Erie Otters - Peterborough Petes	5:2 ✺
27.11.25	Peterborough Petes - North Bay Battalion	1:3 ✺
22.11.25	Peterborough Petes - Kingston Frontenacs	6:2 ✺
21.11.25	Kingston Frontenacs - Peterborough Petes	2:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WLLWW
- Flint Firebirds
OHL
30.11.25	Sarnia Sting - Flint Firebirds	3:2 penalties ✺
29.11.25	Flint Firebirds - Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds	3:2 ✺
26.11.25	Flint Firebirds - Saginaw Spirit	5:4 ✺
23.11.25	Owen Sound Attack - Flint Firebirds	3:6 ✺
22.11.25	Guelph Storm - Flint Firebirds	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

OHL
06.02.25	Peterborough Petes - Flint Firebirds	2:7
08.11.24	Flint Firebirds - Peterborough Petes	4:1
05.01.24	Flint Firebirds - Peterborough Petes	3:1
30.11.23	Peterborough Petes - Flint Firebirds	1:4
01.12.22	Peterborough Petes - Flint Firebirds	4:7
12.11.22	Flint Firebirds - Peterborough Petes	2:3 penalties
18.01.20	Peterborough Petes - Flint Firebirds	2:0

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