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Current Win Probability
Pittsburgh Penguins 49.8%
Draw 21.7%
San Jose Sharks 28.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.5%
21.1%
28.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.1%
20.9%
28.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pittsburgh Penguins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
San Jose Sharks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pittsburgh Penguins than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Jose Sharks than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60%
40%
0%
Pittsburgh Penguins - San Jose Sharks Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Pittsburgh will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Pittsburgh: 23.1% – 88.1%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 5.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Pittsburgh Penguins will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Lineups
Line 1
37. Silovs A. (G)
30. Askarov Y. (G)
5. Shea R.
3. Klingberg J.
58. Letang K. (A)
9. Orlov D.
17. Rust B. (A)
2. Smith W.
87. Crosby S. (C)
71. Celebrini M.
18. Novak T.
51. Graf C.
Line 2
28. Wotherspoon P.
85. Mukhamadullin S.
65. Karlsson E.
38. Ferraro M. (A)
16. Brazeau J.
73. Toffoli T. (A)
13. Hayes K.
21. Wennberg A. (A)
39. Mantha A.
72. Eklund W.
Line 3
27. Graves R.
37. Liljegren T.
75. Clifton C.
6. Dickinson S.
41. Koivunen V.
96. Kurashev P.
81. Kindel B.
10. Dellandrea T.
2. McGroarty R.
53. Skinner J.
Line 4
55. Acciari N.
75. Reaves R.
19. Dewar C.
81. Gaudette A.
43. Heinen D.
23. Goodrow B.
Substitutes
1. Murashov S. (G)
33. Nedeljkovic A. (G)
Coaches
. Muse D.
. Warsofsky R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
06:19, Clifton C. (2 min),
10:27, 0 - 1, Toffoli T. (G), Dickinson S. (A), Wennberg A. (A2)
12:33, Celebrini M. (2 min),
12:41, 1 - 1, Crosby S. (G), Mantha A. (A), Rust B. (A2)
12:52, Skinner J. (2 min),
12:52, Mantha A. (2 min),
15:01, Smith W. (2 min),
2nd Period (3 - 0)
00:19, 2 - 1, McGroarty R. (G), Kindel B. (A), Letang K. (A2)
02:15, Leddy N. (2 min),
09:42, 3 - 1, Hayes K. (G), Acciari N. (A), Dewar C. (A2)
18:19, Orlov D. (2 min),
19:53, 4 - 1, Rust B. (G), Crosby S. (A), Mantha A. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 4)
02:55, Graves R. (2 min),
03:30, Wotherspoon P. (2 min),
03:30, Celebrini M. (2 min),
03:30, Celebrini M. (2 min),
05:25, 5 - 1, Mantha A. (G), Rust B. (A), Karlsson E. (A2)
05:39, Dewar C. (2 min),
06:54, Karlsson E. (2 min),
07:33, 5 - 2, Klingberg J. (G), Toffoli T. (A), Eklund W. (A2)
14:19, 5 - 3, Eklund W. (G), Wennberg A. (A), Gaudette A. (A2)
17:33, 5 - 4, Celebrini M. (G), Toffoli T. (A), Graf C. (A2)
18:22, 5 - 5, Toffoli T. (G), Wennberg A. (A), Celebrini M. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 1)
02:57, 5 - 6, Klingberg J. (G), Celebrini M. (A), Graf C. (A2)
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pittsburgh won 4.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Recently, San Jose has had a series of away games.
Pittsburgh will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Pittsburgh: Hallander F.
(Leg Injury)
Jones C.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Lizotte B.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Malkin E.
(Upper-Body Injury)
There will not play in San Jose: Couture L.
(Groin Injury)
Desharnais V.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Ellis R.
(Back Injury)
Price C.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pittsburgh won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 67:52. (average 3.4:2.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Pittsburgh won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 34:32. (average 3.8:3.6).
Last Results with these Odds
Pittsburgh Penguins - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 50.51%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.