Match Info

Mestis

Date: 12 December 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Lappi Areena (Rovaniemi) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Finland	18:30	MTV Katsomo+


	RoKi		Jokerit

	1	X	2
	3.9	4.5	1.66
	3.32	3.62	1.79
	4.6	4.39	1.62	Watch
	3.6	4.2	1.67
	3.72	4.25	1.71	Watch
	3.85	4.4	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.83 ↓ (5.43)	4.23 ↓ (4.92)	1.68 ↑ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

RoKi
23.8%

Draw
21.6%

Jokerit
54.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

17.2%

19%

63.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.4%

19.2%

63.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

RoKi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in RoKi's performance.

Jokerit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jokerit might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for RoKi than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with RoKi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jokerit than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jokerit could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

RoKi - Jokerit Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
40. Huunonen R. (G)	30. Vehvilainen V. (G)
18. Siira L.	73. Tuhkanen O.
28. Virtanen E.	52. Tuomola R.
71. Boucher E.	40. Suni O.
93. Jarvela J.	22. Forslund A.
39. Niemi E.	25. Leskinen V.
Line 2
55. Kenttamaa A.	12. Tumanovs M.
2. Manninen J.	47. Forsblom S.
91. Mikkola M.	77. Virtanen J.
87. Ruusunen R.	92. Mustonen A.
77. Sikorski A.	26. Kangasniemi O.
Line 3
84. Gronlund N.	53. Elorinne A.
4. Heiskanen T.	71. Rikkila H.
21. Alanko T.	80. Vainikainen V.
19. Orn T.	19. Nalli M.
9. Lindroos V.	29. Kallio B.
Line 4
78. Haataja V.	10. Rasanen V.
90. Turppa T.	20. Lahnaviik R.
23. Heinonen J.	16. Henritius T.
22. Korpi-Halkola V.	14. Liuksiala J.
Substitutes
1. Hyypia E. (G)	37. Heikkeri S. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 2)
00:33, 0 - 1, Forslund A. (G), Suni O. (A), Forsblom S. (A2)
11:09, 0 - 2, Liuksiala J. (G), Henritius T. (A), Rikkila H. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 1)
02:09, 0 - 3, Forslund A. (G), Suni O. (A), Tumanovs M. (A2)
06:47, 1 - 3, Lindroos V. (G), Siira L. (A), Jarvela J. (A2)
17:36, 2 - 3, Virtanen E. (G), Ruusunen R. (A), Sikorski A. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
04:25, 3 - 3, Heiskanen T. (G), Boucher E. (A),
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (1 - 2)
1, Suni O. (Penalty Shot),
1, Boucher E. (Penalty Shot),
2, Leskinen V. (Penalty Shot),
2, Kenttamaa A. (Penalty Shot),
3, Liuksiala J. (Penalty Shot),
3, Mikkola M. (Penalty Shot),
4, Forslund A. (Penalty Shot),
4, Ruusunen R. (Penalty Shot),
5, Kangasniemi O. (Penalty Shot),
5, Siira L. (Penalty Shot),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RoKi won 1.

RoKi has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Jokerit is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

RoKi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Jokerit has had a series of away games.

In this match, Jokerit is the team to beat.

We predict that Jokerit will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, RoKi won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 22:37. (average 1.8:3.1).

Including home matches between the teams, RoKi won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:28. (average 1.7:4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rovaniemen Kiekko
Finnish Mestis
05.12.25	RoKi - Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat	3:4 OT ✺
29.11.25	RoKi - Kiekko-Vantaa	2:1 OT ✺
28.11.25	RoKi - Imatran Ketterä	1:9 ✺
22.11.25	TuTo - RoKi	5:1 ✺
21.11.25	Nokian Pyry - RoKi	4:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLLL
- Jokerit hockey
Finnish Mestis
05.12.25	Nokian Pyry - Jokerit	2:3 ✺
29.11.25	TuTo - Jokerit	2:3 OT ✺
27.11.25	Jokerit - IPK	4:2 ✺
21.11.25	Kiekko-Vantaa - Jokerit	0:6 ✺
15.11.25	Hermes Kokkola - Jokerit	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Mestis
14.11.25	RoKi - Jokerit	1:4
18.10.25	Jokerit - RoKi	1:2
24.01.25	RoKi - Jokerit	1:4
11.01.25	Jokerit - RoKi	2:1
19.10.24	RoKi - Jokerit	0:4
18.10.24	RoKi - Jokerit	4:3 penalties
27.09.24	Jokerit - RoKi	0:1

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