Match Info

Liiga

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Kisapuisto (Lappeenranta)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+


	SaiPa		HIFK

	1	X	2
	1.9	4.2	3.3
	1.97	4.6	3.05	Watch
	1.9	3.91	3.42
	1.78	4.32	3.71	Watch
	1.8	3.9	3.2
	1.91	4.3	3.27	Watch
	1.95	3.85	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.78)	4.15 ↓ (4.22)	3.34 ↓ (3.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SaiPa
49.5%

Draw
22.5%

HIFK
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.1%

22%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8%

23%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SaiPa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

HIFK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SaiPa than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HIFK than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	16.7%	33.3%

SaiPa - HIFK Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. SaiPa will win (votes: 3 - 50%). HIFK will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS, 3rd Period - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
33. Karhunen T. (G)	60. Alnefelt H. (G)
50. Salminen S. (A)	33. Kiviharju A.
26. Kivihalme T.	6. Sund T.
25. Kuusla E.	43. Marleau V.
15. Salomaki M.	21. Lehtera J. (A)
51. Kalapudas A.	77. Kodytek P. (A)
Line 2
14. Kramer B.	28. Ervasti K.
55. Trejbal O.	40. Lindbohm P.
41. Fortier M.	81. Pakarinen I. (C)
82. Nikkanen H.	47. Ashbrook T.
10. Kivenmaki O.	71. Makiaho D.
Line 3
6. Airola S.	98. Larsen O.
7. Niinisaari S. (C)	90. Salmela S.
75. Siikanen P.	63. Mieho P.
12. Bau S.	15. Somppi O.
70. Naukkarinen J.	52. Palmu P.
Line 4
22. Aho K.	78. Seppala J.
62. Tauslahti M. (A)	18. Uronen A.
21. Appelgren N.	54. Somervuori J.
18. Heikkila J.
Substitutes
31. Grigals G. (G)	73. Kohonen P. (G)
	19. Lundell K.
Coaches
. Helminen R.	. Jokinen O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (3 - 0)
08:26, 1 - 0, Fortier M. (G), Nikkanen H. (A), Aho K. (A2)
10:16, 2 - 0, Tauslahti M. (G), Heikkila J. (A), Appelgren N. (A2)
11:19, Ashbrook T. (2 min),
12:29, Lindbohm P. (2 min),
13:27, 3 - 0, Siikanen P. (G), Fortier M. (A), Nikkanen H. (A2)
15:08, Salomaki M. (2 min),
15:08, Ashbrook T. (2 min),
16:42, Marleau V. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
01:58, Pakarinen I. (2 min),
07:38, Pakarinen I. (2 min),
13:54, Sund T. (2 min),
14:08, Pakarinen I. (Penalty Shot),
16:12, Kodytek P. (2 min),
17:41, 4 - 0, Fortier M. (G), Nikkanen H. (A), Siikanen P. (A2)
19:23, Tauslahti M. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 3)
10:48, 4 - 1, Mieho P. (G), Palmu P. (A), Somppi O. (A2)
13:05, 4 - 2, Kodytek P. (G), Lehtera J. (A), Marleau V. (A2)
13:59, Pakarinen I. (2 min),
16:23, 4 - 3, Makiaho D. (G), Sund T. (A), Kiviharju A. (A2)
17:50, (2 min),
19:41, 5 - 3, Heikkila J. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SaiPa won 5.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

SaiPa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, SaiPa is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, SaiPa won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 59:49. (average 3:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, SaiPa won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 28:26. (average 2.5:2.4).

Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now

IFK Helsinki: 4.75% Saipa: 4.07%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
14	IFK Helsinki	11	3	1	2	5	31:34	13

Last Results with these Odds

SaiPa - the odds 1.78 are the expected chance of winning is 52.1%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SaiPa hockey
Finnish SM-liiga
11.02.26	SaiPa - Ässät	4:0 ✺
08.02.26	Vaasan Sport - SaiPa	0:4 ✺
07.02.26	Vaasan Sport - SaiPa	2:3 OT ✺
31.01.26	SaiPa - Kiekko-Espoo	2:3 penalties ✺
30.01.26	Tappara - SaiPa	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWWLL
- HIFK Hockey
Finnish SM-liiga
13.02.26	HIFK - Lukko	0:4 ✺
07.02.26	JYP - HIFK	2:0 ✺
06.02.26	HIFK - Kärpät	3:2 ✺
03.02.26	Mikkelin Jukurit - HIFK	1:2 ✺
31.01.26	HIFK - Tappara	6:5 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-liiga
25.10.25	SaiPa - HIFK	3:0
20.09.25	HIFK - SaiPa	1:4
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
29.08.25	SaiPa - HIFK	6:2
Finnish SM-liiga
02.04.25	SaiPa - HIFK	6:2
29.03.25	HIFK - SaiPa	0:2
28.03.25	SaiPa - HIFK	2:1 OT
26.03.25	HIFK - SaiPa	1:4

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