Match Info

Liiga

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Kisapuisto (Lappeenranta)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+


	SaiPa		Vaasan Sport

	1	X	2
	1.71	4.3	4
	1.67	4.25	4
	1.77	4.35	3.87
	1.75	4.02	3.96
	1.77	4.16	3.86	Watch
	1.77	4.4	3.69	Watch
	1.71	4.3	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.85)	4.25 ↑ (4.2)	3.9 ↑ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SaiPa
54%

Draw
22%

Vaasan Sport
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.2%

22.1%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4%

21.6%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SaiPa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Vaasan Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SaiPa than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vaasan Sport than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	14.3%	14.3%

SaiPa - Vaasan Sport Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. SaiPa will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Vaasa will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): SaiPa will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Piiroinen K. (G)	1. Harkonen M. (G)
22. Aho K.	5. Claesson L.
50. Salminen S. (A)	55. Koivisto M. (C)
18. Heikkila J.	17. Stalberg S.
15. Salomaki M.	80. Miketinac K.
10. Kivenmaki O.	11. Hjalmarsson S. (A)
Line 2
55. Trejbal O.	39. Hunt B.
26. Kivihalme T.	72. Piipponen S.
41. Fortier M.	3. Bertrand C.
82. Nikkanen H.	12. Straka A.
75. Siikanen P.	71. Nieminen V.
Line 3
6. Airola S.	16. Johnsson T.
7. Niinisaari S. (C)	52. Hietanen V. (A)
25. Kuusla E.	86. Granath P.
12. Bau S.	81. Timonen S.
70. Naukkarinen J.	22. Hult O.
Line 4
14. Kramer B.	53. Aarnio A.
19. Tiihonen L.	21. Toivainen R.
21. Appelgren N. (A)	33. Harma M.
62. Tauslahti M.	4. Tiihonen M.
Substitutes
31. Grigals G. (G)	32. Ortio J. (G)
Coaches
. Helminen R.	. Hahl J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
07:22, Koivisto M. (2 min),
08:57, 1 - 0, Airola S. (G), Heikkila J. (A), Kivihalme T. (A2)
11:24, Nikkanen H. (2 min),
11:24, Piipponen S. (2 min),
13:43, Nieminen V. (Penalty Shot),
2nd Period (2 - 1)
02:17, 2 - 0, Naukkarinen J. (G), Niinisaari S. (A), Kuusla E. (A2)
04:35, Salomaki M. (2 min),
07:14, Heikkila J. (2 min),
12:23, 3 - 0, Naukkarinen J. (G), Kramer B. (A), Salomaki M. (A2)
15:17, 3 - 1, Granath P. (G), Nieminen V. (A), Claesson L. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
00:47, 4 - 1, Nikkanen H. (G), Siikanen P. (A),
15:48, 5 - 1, Kivihalme T. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SaiPa won 5.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

SaiPa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, SaiPa is a strong favorite.

We predict that SaiPa will win today's game, with odds of 1.77.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, SaiPa won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 55:58. (average 2.8:2.9).

Including home matches between the teams, SaiPa won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 33:24. (average 3:2.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Vaasan Sport - the odds 3.35 are the expected chance of winning is 27.71%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SaiPa hockey
Finnish SM-liiga
03.10.25	SaiPa - Vaasan Sport	5:4 OT ✺
01.10.25	SaiPa - HPK	3:2 OT ✺
27.09.25	Pelicans - SaiPa	2:5 ✺
26.09.25	SaiPa - Mikkelin Jukurit	1:2 ✺
24.09.25	Kiekko-Espoo - SaiPa	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWWLL
- Vaasan Sport
Finnish SM-liiga
03.10.25	SaiPa - Vaasan Sport	5:4 OT ✺
01.10.25	Vaasan Sport - Ilves	0:2 ✺
27.09.25	Vaasan Sport - KooKoo	5:1 ✺
23.09.25	Vaasan Sport - Mikkelin Jukurit	1:4 ✺
19.09.25	KooKoo - Vaasan Sport	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-liiga
03.10.25	SaiPa - Vaasan Sport	5:4 OT
Finnish Pitsiturnaus
01.08.25	SaiPa - Vaasan Sport	1:0
Finnish SM-liiga
22.01.25	Vaasan Sport - SaiPa	3:4
17.01.25	SaiPa - Vaasan Sport	2:1
11.10.24	Vaasan Sport - SaiPa	2:3
28.09.24	SaiPa - Vaasan Sport	2:3 penalties
07.02.24	SaiPa - Vaasan Sport	3:2 penalties

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