Match Info

OHL

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Progressive Auto Sales Arena (Sarnia, ON)


	Sarnia Sting		Kingston Frontenacs

	1	X	2
	2.53	4.11	2.23	Watch
	2.5	4	2.2
	2.45	4	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.43)	4.04 ↑ (4)	2.21 ↓ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarnia Sting
36.4%

Draw
22.5%

Kingston Frontenacs
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

22.6%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

23.4%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarnia Sting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Kingston Frontenacs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarnia Sting than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kingston Frontenacs than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Osipenko K. (G)	76. Minchak M. (G)
6. Aucoin C.	6. Bishop W. (A)
33. Aucoin K.	22. Buttar N.
61. Bax J.	18. Dever J.
40. Beamish L.	14. Frost M.
84. Challenger T.	77. Henderson M.
17. Di Iorio A. (C)	47. Kelly A.
81. Edwards B. (A)	41. Kulemin A.
71. Gaughan C.	13. Kuzma R.
77. Hurt H. (A)	20. McCuaig C.
9. Jaworski S.	11. McGowan M. (A)
93. Lammens B.	19. Mclean A.
55. Manza M.	86. Misiak A.
12. Pickell B.	25. Mondoux A.
7. Reese J.	4. Moore L.
19. Solomon H.	10. Pobezal T.
14. Van Volsen J.	74. Snyder N.
11. Walos E.	27. Williamson V. (C)
5. Young M. (A)	36. Wright L.
Substitutes
32. Quinlan P. (G)	43. Betts G. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
01:26, 0 - 1, Buttar N. (G), Henderson M. (A), Bishop W. (A2)
18:54, 1 - 1, Pickell B. (G), Edwards B. (A), Bax J. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
16:59, 2 - 1, Van Volsen J. (G), Lammens B. (A), Beamish L. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
18:44, 3 - 1, Walos E. (G),

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarnia won 0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Sarnia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sarnia won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 71:84. (average 3.6:4.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Sarnia won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 36:35. (average 4:3.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Kingston Frontenacs - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 40.16%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarnia Sting
OHL
09.01.26	Sarnia Sting - Erie Otters	9:1 ✺
07.01.26	Flint Firebirds - Sarnia Sting	7:4 ✺
02.01.26	Sarnia Sting - Owen Sound Attack	3:5 ✺
31.12.25	London Knights - Sarnia Sting	1:5 ✺
30.12.25	Saginaw Spirit - Sarnia Sting	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WLLWL
- Kingston Frontenacs
OHL
10.01.26	Flint Firebirds - Kingston Frontenacs	4:1 ✺
08.01.26	Saginaw Spirit - Kingston Frontenacs	1:5 ✺
02.01.26	Kingston Frontenacs - Ottawa 67s	4:3 penalties ✺
01.01.26	Peterborough Petes - Kingston Frontenacs	3:1 ✺
31.12.25	Kingston Frontenacs - Guelph Storm	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

OHL
16.11.25	Kingston Frontenacs - Sarnia Sting	5:2
02.02.25	Sarnia Sting - Kingston Frontenacs	2:4
08.12.24	Kingston Frontenacs - Sarnia Sting	6:2
10.03.24	Sarnia Sting - Kingston Frontenacs	1:4
10.11.23	Kingston Frontenacs - Sarnia Sting	5:3
18.03.23	Sarnia Sting - Kingston Frontenacs	4:3
13.01.23	Kingston Frontenacs - Sarnia Sting	5:3

Sarnia Sting - Kingston Frontenacs: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide