Match Info

KHL

Date: 3 December 2025, Wednesday

Location: Sibir Arena (Novosibirsk)


	Sibir Novosibirsk		Spartak Moscow

	1	X	2
	3.95	4.3	1.76
	4.05	4.41	1.79	Watch
	3.75	4.4	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.92 ↑ (3.59)	4.37 (4.37)	1.77 ↓ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sibir Novosibirsk
24.3%

Draw
21.8%

Spartak Moscow
53.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.4%

21.7%

51.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

21.2%

53%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sibir Novosibirsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Spartak Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sibir Novosibirsk than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Moscow than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Sibir Novosibirsk - Spartak Moscow Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sibir (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
33. Krasotkin A. (G)	50. Zagidulin A. (G)
74. Orlov M.	48. Jaros C.
22. Priskie C.	62. Orlov D.
20. Wilson S.	21. Ruzicka A.
97. Abramov M.	95. Rubtsov G. (A)
15. Kosolapov A.	13. Maltsev M.
Line 2
76. Akhiyarov T.	78. Bychkov R.
73. Zhukov A.	94. Mironov A. (C)
11. Koshelev S.	24. Poryadin P. (A)
12. Nekolenko A. (A)	17. Morozov I.
82. Chekhovich I.	35. Korostelev N.
Line 3
42. Kalinichenko R.	89. Korolyov V.
54. Churkin A.	33. Sobolev D.
51. Leshchenko V.	6. Ryabov I.
45. Pyanov V.	20. Lockhart L.
10. Fedotov I.	76. Lukyantsev S.
Line 4
61. Yakovlev A. (A)	3. Ivanov D.
26. Klimovich I.	98. Belyayev A.
52. Shirokov S. (C)	47. Usmanov D.
	16. Pivchulin D.
Substitutes
30. Kokaulin S. (G)	40. Georgiyev A. (G)
86. Lyuzenkov I.
Coaches
. Lyuzenkov Y.	. Zhamnov A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (4 - 0)
06:23, 1 - 0, Klimovich I. (G), Kalinichenko R. (A), Akhiyarov T. (A2)
10:18, 2 - 0, Kosolapov A. (G), Abramov M. (A), Akhiyarov T. (A2)
12:40, 3 - 0, Abramov M. (G), Kosolapov A. (A),
19:01, Lukyantsev S. (2 min),
19:21, 4 - 0, Wilson S. (G), Shirokov S. (A), Kosolapov A. (A2)
19:34, Mironov A. (2 min),
19:34, Koshelev S. (2 min),
20:00, Yakovlev A. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 3)
00:01, Zagidulin A. ↓, Georgiyev A. ↑,
00:55, 4 - 1, Orlov D. (G), Poryadin P. (A), Morozov I. (A2)
02:02, 4 - 2, Sobolev D. (G), Morozov I. (A), Poryadin P. (A2)
05:24, 4 - 3, Maltsev M. (G), Korolyov V. (A), Bychkov R. (A2)
14:51, Priskie C. (2 min),
17:12, 5 - 3, Koshelev S. (G), Priskie C. (A), Churkin A. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 3)
09:54, Belyayev A. (2 min),
10:59, 6 - 3, Priskie C. (G),
17:46, 6 - 4, Pivchulin D. (G), Belyayev A. (A),
19:21, 6 - 5, Ruzicka A. (G),
19:50, 6 - 6, Korostelev N. (G),
Overtime (0 - 1)
02:03, 6 - 7, Maltsev M. (G), Belyayev A. (A), Rubtsov G. (A2)

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sibir won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Sibir may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Spartak is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sibir won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 41:57. (average 2.1:2.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Sibir won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:20. (average 2.3:2.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Sibir Novosibirsk - the odds 3.59 are the expected chance of winning is 26.39%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Spartak Moscow - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 51.92%, but this team recently wins 83% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Sibir Novosibirsk
KHL
01.12.25	Sibir Novosibirsk - Barys Astana	4:1 ✺
29.11.25	Sibir Novosibirsk - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	2:4 ✺
24.11.25	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Sibir Novosibirsk	4:1 ✺
22.11.25	Sochi - Sibir Novosibirsk	1:2 ✺
20.11.25	Dynamo Moscow - Sibir Novosibirsk	3:4 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 WLLWW
- HC Spartak Moscow
KHL
29.11.25	Spartak Moscow - Lada Togliatti	5:4 ✺
27.11.25	Spartak Moscow - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	3:1 ✺
25.11.25	Spartak Moscow - Ak Bars Kazan	1:0 ✺
22.11.25	Dinamo Minsk - Spartak Moscow	6:0 ✺
20.11.25	Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod - Spartak Moscow	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

KHL
10.11.25	Spartak Moscow - Sibir Novosibirsk	6:3
20.02.25	Spartak Moscow - Sibir Novosibirsk	6:2
21.09.24	Sibir Novosibirsk - Spartak Moscow	3:1
26.10.23	Sibir Novosibirsk - Spartak Moscow	4:3
04.10.23	Spartak Moscow - Sibir Novosibirsk	5:2
25.10.22	Sibir Novosibirsk - Spartak Moscow	4:3
04.09.22	Spartak Moscow - Sibir Novosibirsk	1:0

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