The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Spartak Moscow 35.7%
Draw 23.1%
Ak Bars Kazan 41.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.5%
21.5%
42%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.7%
21.6%
41.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spartak Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
Ak Bars Kazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Moscow than the current prediction. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ak Bars Kazan than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
76.9%
23.1%
0%
Spartak Moscow - Ak Bars Kazan Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Spartak will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Spartak: 54% – 99.8%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Spartak Moscow will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4
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Lineups
Line 1
50. Zagidulin A. (G)
20. Arefyev M. (G)
4. Keane J.
58. Miller M.
94. Mironov A. (C)
96. Lyamkin N. (A)
21. Ruzicka A.
23. Jaskin D.
95. Rubtsov G. (A)
94. Semyonov K. (A)
29. Todd N.
17. Barabanov A.
Line 2
48. Jaros C.
53. Marchenko A. (C)
62. Orlov D.
89. Karpukhin I.
24. Poryadin P. (A)
95. Galimov A.
17. Morozov I.
24. Safonov I.
13. Maltsev M.
55. Chmelevski A.
Line 3
33. Sobolev D.
65. Luchevnikov K.
79. Yefremov N.
7. Falkovsky S.
98. Belyayev A.
14. Denisenko G.
20. Lockhart L.
10. Biro B.
35. Korostelev N.
72. Alistrov V.
Line 4
78. Bychkov R.
15. Brovkin A.
53. Tyurin N.
92. Katelevsky D.
6. Ryabov I.
86. Dynyak N.
47. Usmanov D.
16. Pivchulin D.
Substitutes
31. Volokhin Y. (G)
82. Bilyalov T. (G)
13. Zamaltdinov R.
Coaches
. Zhamnov A.
. Gatiyatulin A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
13:31, Barabanov A. (2 min),
17:01, Morozov I. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
01:37, (2 min),
04:27, Yefremov N. (2 min),
05:45, (2 min),
07:15, 1 - 0, Morozov I. (G), Rubtsov G. (A), Todd N. (A2)
14:13, (2 min),
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spartak won 3.
Spartak has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Ak Bars has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Spartak won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 43:53. (average 2.2:2.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Spartak won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:31. (average 2.1:2.8).
Last Results with these Odds
Ak Bars Kazan - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 42.03%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.