Match Info
AHLDate: 17 January 2026, SaturdayLocation: Wells Fargo Arena (Des Moines, IA)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Usa | Flohockey |
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Iowa Wild |
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Toronto Marlies |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
- The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Iowa Wild 26.4% | Draw 21.8% | Toronto Marlies 51.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Iowa Wild has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)Toronto Marlies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iowa Wild than the current prediction. (+5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto Marlies than the current prediction. (-7.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Toronto Marlies, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Iowa Wild - Toronto Marlies Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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67. Mercer R. (G)
| 50. Peksa V. (G)
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19. Bankier C.
| 68. Barbolini M.
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91. Desnoyers E.
| 72. Boyd T.
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86. Foudy J.
| 58. Chadwick N.
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14. Gambrell D.
| 29. Groulx B.
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6. Gleason B. (A)
| 43. Haymes L.
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27. Heidt R.
| 65. Johnson R.
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23. Kiersted M. (A)
| 57. Johnstone M. (A)
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5. King D. J.
| 71. Lettieri V.
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2. Koster M.
| 92. Nylander A.
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7. Lambos C.
| 56. Pare C.
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26. Liwiski M.
| 37. Prokop J.
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10. Marek B.
| 83. Rifai M. (A)
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20. Mayhew G. (A)
| 11. Shaw L. (C)
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16. Nelson J.
| 59. Smith B.
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24. Olausson O.
| 3. Thrun H.
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3. Peart J.
| 77. Tverberg R.
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13. Sandelin R.
| 39. Valis B.
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4. Zmolek W.
| 76. Villeneuve W.
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| Substitutes |
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31. Hlavaj S. (G)
| 70. Akhtyamov A. (G)
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Period (3 - 1)
- 02:13, 0 - 1, Valis B. (G), Nylander A. (A), Chadwick N. (A2)
- 04:38, 1 - 1, Lambos C. (G), Bankier C. (A),
- 06:46, 2 - 1, Bankier C. (G), Foudy J. (A), Desnoyers E. (A2)
- 08:54, 3 - 1, Mayhew G. (G), Gambrell D. (A), Olausson O. (A2)
- 2nd Period (0 - 4)
- 02:59, 3 - 2, Valis B. (G), Villeneuve W. (A), Chadwick N. (A2)
- 10:53, 3 - 3, Shaw L. (G), Lettieri V. (A),
- 16:25, 3 - 4, Shaw L. (G), Lettieri V. (A), Thrun H. (A2)
- 19:59, 3 - 5, Haymes L. (G), Nylander A. (A), Villeneuve W. (A2)
- 3rd Period (1 - 0)
- 15:24, 4 - 5, Olausson O. (G), Foudy J. (A), Desnoyers E. (A2)
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 7 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Iowa won 0.Recent form of Iowa has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).In recent matches, Toronto has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Recently, Iowa has had a series of away games. Toronto might have a minor edge in this game.In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Iowa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:27. (average 1.9:3.9).Including home matches between the teams, Iowa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 2.3:4).
Last Results with these Odds
Iowa Wild - the odds 3.04 are the expected chance of winning is 29.55%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| AHL | | | 16.01.26 | Iowa Wild - Toronto Marlies | 2:3 | | 23.11.25 | Toronto Marlies - Iowa Wild | 2:1 | | 22.11.25 | Toronto Marlies - Iowa Wild | 7:2 | | 14.04.15 | Iowa Wild - Toronto Marlies | 2:5 | | 07.02.15 | Toronto Marlies - Iowa Wild | 5:1 | | 29.03.14 | Toronto Marlies - Iowa Wild | 1:2 penalties | | 15.01.14 | Iowa Wild - Toronto Marlies | 3:4 OT |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;