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Current Win Probability
Washington Capitals 50.4%
Draw 21.4%
San Jose Sharks 28.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.5%
22%
29.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55%
25%
26%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Washington Capitals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
San Jose Sharks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Washington Capitals than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Jose Sharks than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
80%
20%
0%
Washington Capitals - San Jose Sharks Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Washington will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Washington: 50.6% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Washington Capitals will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Lineups
Line 1
48. Thompson L. (G)
33. Nedeljkovic A. (G)
74. Carlson J.
3. Klingberg J.
42. Fehervary M.
9. Orlov D.
53. Frank E.
92. Chernyshov I.
17. Strome D.
71. Celebrini M.
8. Ovechkin A.
51. Graf C.
Line 2
3. Roy M.
37. Liljegren T.
6. Chychrun J.
38. Ferraro M.
9. Leonard R.
73. Toffoli T.
24. McMichael C.
21. Wennberg A.
21. Protas A.
72. Eklund W.
Line 3
52. McIlrath D.
22. Iorio V.
38. Sandin R.
6. Dickinson S.
72. Beauvillier A.
81. Gaudette A.
26. Dowd N.
77. Misa M.
22. Duhaime B.
84. Regenda P.
Line 4
20. Leason B.
75. Reaves R.
29. Lapierre H.
63. Ostapchuk Z.
15. Milano S.
23. Goodrow B.
Substitutes
79. Lindgren C. (G)
30. Askarov Y. (G)
Coaches
. Carbery S.
. Warsofsky R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
16:14, Carlson J. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 3)
00:56, Carlson J. (2 min),
09:46, Iorio V. (2 min),
10:58, 1 - 0, Strome D. (G), Ovechkin A. (A), Chychrun J. (A2)
13:27, 1 - 1, Ostapchuk Z. (G), Orlov D. (A), Eklund W. (A2)
14:53, 1 - 2, Graf C. (G), Regenda P. (A),
16:13, 1 - 3, Regenda P. (G), Celebrini M. (A), Graf C. (A2)
19:49, Toffoli T. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
09:11, 2 - 3, Leonard R. (G), Carlson J. (A), Fehervary M. (A2)
09:56, Chychrun J. (2 min),
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Washington won 3.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
San Jose may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, San Jose has had a series of home games.
Washington could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Washington won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 67:54. (average 3.4:2.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Washington won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 21:31. (average 2.3:3.4).
Outrights of NHL for now
Washington Capitals: 5.74% San Jose Sharks: 1.96%
Last Results with these Odds
Washington Capitals - the odds 1.95 are the expected chance of winning is 48.48%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
San Jose Sharks - the odds 3.2 are the expected chance of winning is 29.54%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Thompson L. (G) 
Nedeljkovic A. (G) 
Klingberg J. 
Fehervary M. 
Orlov D. 
Protas A. 
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