Match Info

AHL

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Coca-Cola Coliseum (Toronto, ON)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Flohockey


	Toronto Marlies		Iowa Wild

	1	X	2
	1.8	4.2	3.2	Watch
	1.95	4.2	3.05
	1.84	4.44	3.25	Watch
	2.06	4.25	2.88	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.84)	4.27 ↓ (4.44)	3.1 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toronto Marlies
48.4%

Draw
21.7%

Iowa Wild
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

20.9%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

20.6%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toronto Marlies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Iowa Wild has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Marlies than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Iowa Wild than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Toronto Marlies - Iowa Wild Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Iowa will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
70. Akhtyamov A. (G)	40. Petersen C. (G)
68. Barbolini M.	96. Aube-Kubel N. (A)
72. Boyd T. (A)	19. Bankier C. (A)
58. Chadwick N.	42. Butler C.
29. Groulx B.	86. Foudy J.
43. Haymes L.	6. Gleason B. (A)
65. Johnson R.	27. Heidt R.
57. Johnstone M.	55. Jiricek D.
71. Lettieri V.	23. Kiersted M. (C)
92. Nylander A.	95. Kumpulainen R.
61. Pezzetta M.	7. Lambos C.
97. Sharpe C.	26. Liwiski M.
11. Shaw L. (C)	10. Marek B.
59. Smith B.	20. Mayhew G.
3. Thrun H. (A)	16. Nelson J.
77. Tverberg R.	38. Newpower W.
39. Valis B.	24. Olausson O.
76. Villeneuve W.	13. Sandelin R.
52. Webber C.	21. Spacek D.
Substitutes
50. Peksa V. (G)	31. Hlavaj S. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
05:19, 1 - 0, Villeneuve W. (G), Lettieri V. (A), Thrun H. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
06:34, 1 - 1, Jiricek D. (G), Kiersted M. (A), Foudy J. (A2)
12:15, 2 - 1, Smith B. (G), Johnstone M. (A), Pezzetta M. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 7)

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Toronto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Toronto has had a series of away games.

Recently, Iowa has had a series of home games.

Toronto could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 22:10. (average 4.4:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:5. (average 4.3:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Toronto Marlies
AHL
22.11.25	Toronto Marlies - Iowa Wild	7:2 ✺
19.11.25	Belleville Senators - Toronto Marlies	4:0 ✺
14.11.25	Grand Rapids Griffins - Toronto Marlies	5:2 ✺
12.11.25	Grand Rapids Griffins - Toronto Marlies	3:2 OT ✺
08.11.25	Lehigh Valley Phantoms - Toronto Marlies	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLLLL
- Iowa Wild
AHL
22.11.25	Toronto Marlies - Iowa Wild	7:2 ✺
18.11.25	Iowa Wild - Texas Stars	3:1 ✺
15.11.25	Iowa Wild - Charlotte Checkers	0:2 ✺
14.11.25	Iowa Wild - Charlotte Checkers	3:4 ✺
09.11.25	Iowa Wild - Rockford IceHogs	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

AHL
22.11.25	Toronto Marlies - Iowa Wild	7:2
14.04.15	Iowa Wild - Toronto Marlies	2:5
07.02.15	Toronto Marlies - Iowa Wild	5:1
29.03.14	Toronto Marlies - Iowa Wild	1:2 penalties
15.01.14	Iowa Wild - Toronto Marlies	3:4 OT

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