Match Info

AHL

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Coca-Cola Coliseum (Toronto, ON)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Flohockey


	Toronto Marlies		Lehigh Valley Phantoms

	1	X	2
	2.2	4	2.45	Watch
	2.35	4	2.5
	2.33	3.9	2.55
	2.37	3.85	2.58	Watch
	2.3	3.8	2.5
	2.3	3.95	2.44	Watch
	2.25	4	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.31)	3.93 ↓ (4.07)	2.49 ↓ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toronto Marlies
39.8%

Draw
23.3%

Lehigh Valley Phantoms
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

22.8%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

21.5%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toronto Marlies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Lehigh Valley Phantoms has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Marlies than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lehigh Valley Phantoms than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Toronto Marlies - Lehigh Valley Phantoms Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
50. Peksa V. (G)	35. Kolosov A. (G)
68. Barbolini M.	59. Bonk O.
72. Boyd T.	23. Dorwart K.
58. Chadwick N.	43. Eklind O.
29. Groulx B.	56. Gaucher J.
43. Haymes L.	72. Gendron A.
65. Johnson R.	37. Ginning A.
57. Johnstone M. (A)	3. Grans H.
71. Lettieri V.	15. Kyrou C.
92. Nylander A.	20. Marody C.
61. Pezzetta M.	19. McDonald H.
83. Rifai M. (A)	4. Murchison T.
97. Sharpe C.	25. Pederson L. (A)
11. Shaw L. (C)	90. Richard A.
59. Smith B.	22. Robertson T.
3. Thrun H.	76. Schmidt R.
77. Tverberg R.	26. Tomasino P.
39. Valis B.	17. Wilson G. (C)
76. Villeneuve W.	74. Wisdom Z. (A)
Substitutes
70. Akhtyamov A. (G)	64. Bjarnason C. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
05:38, 0 - 1, Marody C. (G), Tomasino P. (A),
17:33, 1 - 1, Johnstone M. (G), Pezzetta M. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
13:32, 1 - 2, Bonk O. (G), Pederson L. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 4)
03:14, 1 - 3, Dorwart K. (G), Pederson L. (A), Robertson T. (A2)
08:35, 1 - 4, Gendron A. (G),
11:02, 1 - 5, Pederson L. (G),
17:56, 1 - 6, Wilson G. (G), Bonk O. (A), Eklind O. (A2)

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 2.

Toronto has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Lehigh Valley is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Toronto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Lehigh Valley has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 63:64. (average 3.2:3.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 30:31. (average 3:3.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Toronto Marlies - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 40.19%, but this team recently wins 47% of matches with these odds.

Lehigh Valley Phantoms - the odds 2.51 are the expected chance of winning is 36.99%, but this team recently wins 47% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Toronto Marlies
AHL
03.01.26	Toronto Marlies - Rochester Americans	6:4 ✺
01.01.26	Toronto Marlies - Syracuse Crunch	2:1 OT ✺
30.12.25	Cleveland Monsters - Toronto Marlies	1:2 ✺
27.12.25	Utica Comets - Toronto Marlies	3:4 penalties ✺
26.12.25	Toronto Marlies - Belleville Senators	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.3 WWWWW
- Lehigh Valley Phantoms
AHL
03.01.26	Belleville Senators - Lehigh Valley Phantoms	1:3 ✺
31.12.25	Lehigh Valley Phantoms - Hershey Bears	3:0 ✺
29.12.25	Lehigh Valley Phantoms - Charlotte Checkers	2:3 OT ✺
28.12.25	Lehigh Valley Phantoms - Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins	4:3 penalties ✺
20.12.25	Lehigh Valley Phantoms - Hartford Wolf Pack	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

AHL
08.11.25	Lehigh Valley Phantoms - Toronto Marlies	3:2
20.12.24	Lehigh Valley Phantoms - Toronto Marlies	7:2
10.12.24	Toronto Marlies - Lehigh Valley Phantoms	6:3
27.01.24	Lehigh Valley Phantoms - Toronto Marlies	3:4 penalties
21.11.23	Toronto Marlies - Lehigh Valley Phantoms	1:2
04.03.23	Lehigh Valley Phantoms - Toronto Marlies	4:3
07.01.23	Toronto Marlies - Lehigh Valley Phantoms	5:4 penalties

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