Match Info

VHL

Date: 14 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Mostovik Arena (Kurgan)


	Zauralie Kurgan		Magnitka Magnitogorsk

	1	X	2
	2.23	4.05	2.68	Watch
	2.15	3.85	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.32)	3.95 ↑ (3.71)	2.64 ↑ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zauralie Kurgan
41.9%

Draw
23.3%

Magnitka Magnitogorsk
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

24.5%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

26.3%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zauralie Kurgan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Magnitka Magnitogorsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zauralie Kurgan than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zauralie Kurgan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Magnitka Magnitogorsk than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Zauralie Kurgan - Magnitka Magnitogorsk Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Magnitka Magnitogorsk will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

We predict that Zauralie will win today's game, with odds of 2.31.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Zauralie won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 2:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Zauralie won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
20	Magnitka Magnitogorsk	9	4	0	3	2	18:14	11
28	Kurgan	10	0	2	4	4	15:27	8

Last Results with these Odds

Zauralie Kurgan - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 39.27%, but this team recently wins 65% of matches with these odds.

Magnitka Magnitogorsk - the odds 2.51 are the expected chance of winning is 36.22%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zauralie Kurgan
VHL
12.01.26	Zauralie Kurgan - Chelmet	5:1 ✺
10.01.26	Zauralie Kurgan - Gornyak-UGMK	4:3 OT ✺
28.12.25	Toros Neftekamsk - Zauralie Kurgan	2:1 ✺
26.12.25	Izhstal - Zauralie Kurgan	2:1 ✺
24.12.25	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Zauralie Kurgan	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWLLW
- Magnitka Magnitogorsk
VHL
12.01.26	Rubin Tyumen - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	0:4 ✺
10.01.26	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	2:1 penalties ✺
27.12.25	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Zvezda Moscow	0:1 ✺
25.12.25	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Khimik	5:7 ✺
23.12.25	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Torpedo-Gorky	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
07.11.25	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Zauralie Kurgan	3:2 penalties
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
16.08.25	Zauralie Kurgan - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	2:0
VHL
03.02.25	Zauralie Kurgan - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	1:2
17.10.24	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Zauralie Kurgan	2:3

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