Match Info

NHL

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday

Location: T-Mobile Arena (Las Vegas, NV)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Germany	NHL.tv
Mexico	Disney+
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Slovakia	Nova Sport 1, Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN USA, ESPN+, MSG Sportsnet, MSG, NESN, SportsNet Pittsburgh
Venezuela	Disney+
International	NHL.tv


	Vegas Golden Knights		Pittsburgh Penguins

	1	X	2
	1.65	4.75	3.90	Watch
	1.72	4.33	3.70
	1.74	4.60	3.80
	1.78	4.64	3.68
	1.79	4.66	3.57	Watch
	1.77	4.60	3.65
	1.76	4.72	3.76
	1.73	4.60	3.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.87)	4.61 ↓ (4.64)	3.72 ↑ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vegas Golden Knights
54.2%

Draw
20.5%

Pittsburgh Penguins
25.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.6%

20.4%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

20.8%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vegas Golden Knights has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Pittsburgh Penguins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vegas Golden Knights than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pittsburgh Penguins than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	11.1%	0%

Vegas Golden Knights - Pittsburgh Penguins Predictions

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - VGS Golden Knights (1.48) (votes: 91%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Vegas Golden Knights will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Lineups

Line 1
33. Hill A. (G)	1. Murashov S. (G)
27. Theodore S.	65. Karlsson E.
3. McNabb B.	72. Carlile D.
61. Stone M. (C)	17. Rust B.
9. Eichel J. (A)	87. Crosby S. (C)
49. Barbashev I.	67. Rakell R.
Line 2
4. Andersson R.	6. Korczak K.
5. Lauzon J.	49. Girard S.
93. Marner M.	71. Malkin E. (A)
71. Karlsson W. (A)	18. Novak T.
21. Howden B.	41. Koivunen V.
Line 3
52. Coghlan D.	58. Letang K. (A)
15. Hanifin N.	24. Stastney S.
36. Lavoie R.	14. Robertson N.
48. Hertl T.	81. Kindel B.
24. Connelly T.	10. Kuzmenko A.
Line 4
17. Gatcomb M.	25. Soderblom E.
26. Dowd N.	46. Lizotte B.
42. Bowman B.	19. Dewar C.
Substitutes
79. Hart C. (G)	37. Silovs A. (G)
Coaches
. Craig R.	. Muse D.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vegas won 3.

Vegas has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Pittsburgh is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Vegas could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Pittsburgh has had a run of games away from home.

Vegas carries the favorite tag into this contest.

Confirmed absences for Vegas: Olofsson V. (Injury) Pietrangelo A. (Hip Injury) Wotherspoon P. (Upper-Body Injury).

Confirmed absences for Pittsburgh: Brazeau J. (Lower-Body Injury) Graves R. (Knee Injury) Van Riemsdyk T. (Lower-Body Injury).

Our forecast points to a victory for Vegas in today's match, at odds of 1.66.

In the last 16 head-to-head meetings, Vegas has recorded 7 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 49:48 (averaging 3.1:3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Vegas against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 33:19 goals (averaging 4.1:2.4 per game).

Outrights of NHL for now

Vegas Golden Knights: 7.17% Pittsburgh Penguins: 1.15%

Last Results with these Odds

Pittsburgh Penguins - the odds 3.26 are the expected chance of winning is 29.02%, but this team recently wins 41% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vegas Golden Knights
NHL
15.10.26	Vegas Golden Knights - Calgary Flames	6:2 ✺
13.10.26	Nashville Predators - Vegas Golden Knights	2:5 ✺
12.10.26	Minnesota Wild - Vegas Golden Knights	4:2 ✺
10.10.26	Vegas Golden Knights - Los Angeles Kings	2:1 OT ✺
08.10.26	Vegas Golden Knights - Toronto Maple Leafs	4:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWLWW
- Pittsburgh Penguins
NHL
16.10.26	Colorado Avalanche - Pittsburgh Penguins	5:2 ✺
13.10.26	Chicago Blackhawks - Pittsburgh Penguins	5:3 ✺
10.10.26	Pittsburgh Penguins - Dallas Stars	2:1 penalties ✺
09.10.26	Columbus Blue Jackets - Pittsburgh Penguins	3:2 penalties ✺
07.10.26	Washington Capitals - Pittsburgh Penguins	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

NHL
12.03.26	Vegas Golden Knights - Pittsburgh Penguins	6:2
01.03.26	Pittsburgh Penguins - Vegas Golden Knights	5:0
11.03.25	Pittsburgh Penguins - Vegas Golden Knights	3:2 OT
07.03.25	Vegas Golden Knights - Pittsburgh Penguins	4:0
20.01.24	Vegas Golden Knights - Pittsburgh Penguins	3:2
19.11.23	Pittsburgh Penguins - Vegas Golden Knights	3:0
05.01.23	Vegas Golden Knights - Pittsburgh Penguins	5:2

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