Match Info

RUSSIA: KHL

Date: 20 March 2025, Thursday

Location: Balashikha Arena (Balashikha)


	Vityaz Balashikha		Avangard Omsk

	1	X	2
	4.38	4.58	1.66	Watch
	3.86	4.25	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.12 ↑ (3.94)	4.42 ↓ (4.5)	1.69 ↓ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vityaz Balashikha
22.8%

Draw
21.3%

Avangard Omsk
55.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.5%

21.5%

54%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25%

21.9%

53%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vityaz Balashikha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Avangard Omsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vityaz Balashikha than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avangard Omsk than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Vityaz Balashikha - Avangard Omsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
44. Shikin D. (G)	54. Serebryakov N. (G)
79. Roy J. (A)	66. Chistyakov S.
9. Valentsov V.	44. Sharipzyanov D. (C)
74. Makeyev A.	13. Fiore G.
10. Galuzin V. (C)	51. Spooner R.
8. Zaseda M.	17. Okulov K.
Line 2
18. Stewart D.	20. Grant A.
7. Busygin Y.	56. Chayka D.
28. Chivilyov A.	14. Igumnov I. (A)
26. Barach D.	74. Prokhorkin N.
72. Buchelnikov D.	65. Yakupov N.
Line 3
16. Vashchenko G.	2. Koledov P.
57. Rykov Y.	84. Gulyaev M.
21. Savchik I.	86. Boucher R. (A)
87. Tsitsyura V.	9. McLeod M.
86. Vorobyov I.	19. Tkachev V.
Line 4
19. Malorosiyanov D.	59. Voronkov Y.
27. Yezhov I.	70. Martynov I.
40. Kalinin S. (A)	29. Kablukov I.
13. Yarovoy S.	72. Galimov E.
Substitutes
31. Kareyev A. (G)	1. Berdin M. (G)
Coaches
. Desyatkov P.	. Boucher G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 2)
03:34, Yezhov I. (2 min),
04:33, 0 - 1, Boucher R. (G), Tkachev V. (A), Okulov K. (A2)
06:07, 1 - 1, Barach D. (G), Buchelnikov D. (A), Chivilyov A. (A2)
06:55, Roy J. (2 min),
07:49, (2 min),
12:16, (2 min),
16:18, 1 - 2, Chistyakov S. (G), Yakupov N. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
01:49, Okulov K. (2 min),
12:38, Tkachev V. (2 min),
14:39, McLeod M. (2 min),
16:09, 2 - 2, Yezhov I. (G), Zaseda M. (A), Chivilyov A. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 1)
00:26, 2 - 3, Okulov K. (G), Spooner R. (A),

Preview

Avangard is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vityaz won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Recently Vityaz have a series of guest games.

In this match Avangard is a favorite.

There will not play in Vityaz: Chekhovich I. (Injury) Gauthier F. (Injury)

There will not play in Avangard: Boikov S. (Injury) Stepanov D. (Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Vityaz won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 42:56 (average 2.1:2.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Vityaz won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 23:26 (average 2.6:2.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Vityaz Balashikha - the odds 3.94 are the expected chance of winning is 24.53%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Avangard Omsk - the odds 1.79 are the expected chance of winning is 53.99%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vityaz Balashikha
KHL
17.03.25	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Vityaz Balashikha	3:2 penalties ✺
15.03.25	Ak Bars Kazan - Vityaz Balashikha	1:2 OT ✺
10.03.25	Vityaz Balashikha - Sibir Novosibirsk	3:1 ✺
08.03.25	Sochi - Vityaz Balashikha	0:5 ✺
06.03.25	Severstal Cherepovets - Vityaz Balashikha	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.2 LWWWL
- Avangard Omsk
KHL
18.03.25	Dynamo Moscow - Avangard Omsk	4:3 OT ✺
14.03.25	Avangard Omsk - Traktor Chelyabinsk	4:5 ✺
11.03.25	Avangard Omsk - Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod	4:3 ✺
08.03.25	Ak Bars Kazan - Avangard Omsk	0:2 ✺
06.03.25	Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod - Avangard Omsk	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

KHL
26.02.25	Avangard Omsk - Vityaz Balashikha	4:3 OT
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
16.08.24	Vityaz Balashikha - Avangard Omsk	1:2
KHL
29.11.23	Avangard Omsk - Vityaz Balashikha	4:1
18.10.23	Vityaz Balashikha - Avangard Omsk	5:2
06.11.22	Avangard Omsk - Vityaz Balashikha	3:1
03.09.22	Vityaz Balashikha - Avangard Omsk	3:2
09.01.22	Vityaz Balashikha - Avangard Omsk	1:4

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