Match Info

Date: 12 October 2022, Wednesday


	Yuzhny Ural Orsk		Lada Togliatti

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.85	1.76
	3.57	3.87	1.78
	3.58	4.3	1.78	Watch
	3.55	4	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.53 ↓ (3.96)	4.01 ↓ (4.1)	1.78 ↑ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yuzhny Ural Orsk
25.9%

Draw
22.8%

Lada Togliatti
51.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.6%

22.8%

53.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.5%

21.7%

56.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yuzhny Ural Orsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Lada Togliatti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yuzhny Ural Orsk than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lada Togliatti than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Lada Togliatti Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Yuzhny Ural won 1.

Yuzhny Ural is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lada is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Lada could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Lada have a series of home games.

Lada will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Lada to win the game is with odds 1.78.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Yuzhny Ural won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 28-47.

Including matches at home between the teams Yuzhny Ural won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 15-22.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yuzhny Ural Orsk
VHL
10.10.22	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - AKM	3:4 OT ✺
08.10.22	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Zvezda Moscow	1:3 ✺
03.10.22	Omskie Krylia - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	3:1 ✺
01.10.22	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	4:3 OT ✺
28.09.22	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	4:5 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLLLW
- HC Lada Togliatti
VHL
04.10.22	Lada Togliatti - Buran Voronezh	1:0 ✺
02.10.22	Lada Togliatti - Rostov	2:3 OT ✺
28.09.22	Bars Kazan - Lada Togliatti	3:4 OT ✺
24.09.22	Lada Togliatti - Zvezda Moscow	4:1 ✺
22.09.22	Lada Togliatti - AKM	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Ice Hockey
26.08.22	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Lada Togliatti	3:6
VHL
03.02.22	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Lada Togliatti	5:2
23.09.21	Lada Togliatti - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	3:2
31.01.21	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Lada Togliatti	3:4 OT
02.11.20	Lada Togliatti - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	4:1
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
28.08.20	Lada Togliatti - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	3:2 OT
VHL
01.10.19	Lada Togliatti - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	6:3

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