What is the expert prediction for Canberra Raiders vs Brisbane Broncos?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Canberra Raiders vs Brisbane Broncos. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

How to watch Canberra Raiders vs Brisbane Broncos live?

Check our broadcast section for official streaming options and live coverage details.

Canberra Raiders vs Brisbane Broncos Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Sunday, September 14, 2025)

Match Info

NRL - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 14 September 2025, Sunday

Location: GIO Stadium (Canberra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	Premier Sports Rugby Asia
Australia	Fox League, Nine, NRL
France	beIN Sports 1
New-zealand	Sky Sport 2


	Canberra Raiders		Brisbane Broncos

	1	X	2
	1.67	23	2.3
	1.67	19	2.25
	1.65	22	2.4
	2.06	15.80	1.88	Watch
	1.7	21	2.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.69)	20.16 ↓ (22.67)	2.22 ↓ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 45.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Canberra Raiders
53.3%

Draw
4.6%

Brisbane Broncos
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

4.1%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6%

4.2%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Canberra Raiders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Brisbane Broncos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Canberra Raiders than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brisbane Broncos than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

banner

Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Canberra will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Brisbane will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Canberra (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 25:22

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Weekes K.	1. Walsh R.
2. Tamale S.	2. Karapani J.
3. Timoko M.	3. Staggs K.
4. Kris S.	4. Shibasaki G.
5. Stuart J.	5. Mariner D.
6. Strange E.	6. Walters B.
7. Fogarty J.	7. Hunt B.
8. Papalii J.	8. Jensen C.
9. Starling T.	9. Paix C.
10. Tapine J. (C)	10. Haas P.
11. Young H.	11. Piakura B.
12. Hosking Z.	12. Riki J.
13. Horsburgh C.	13. Carrigan P. (C)
Substitutes
14. Pattie O.	14. Smoothy T.
15. Sasagi S.	15. Hetherington K.
16. Smithies M.	16. Talty B.
17. Mariota A.	17. Hunt J.
18. Nicholson M.	18. Arthars J.
Coaches
. Stuart R.	. Maguire M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (18 - 12)
3', Staggs K. (Try),
4', Walsh R. (Conversion Goal),
12', Young H. (Try),
13', Fogarty J. (Conversion Goal),
22', Kris S. (Try),
23', Fogarty J. (Conversion Goal),
26', Mariner D. (Try),
27', Walsh R. (Conversion Goal),
34', Weekes K. (Try),
36', Fogarty J. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (10 - 14)
54', Weekes K. (Try),
55', Fogarty J. (Conversion Goal),
57', Strange E. (Try),
58', Fogarty J. (Missed Conversion),
66', Walsh R. (Try),
68', Walsh R. (Missed Conversion),
71', Karapani J. (Try),
72', Walsh R. (Missed Conversion),
73', Shibasaki G. (Try),
75', Walsh R. (Conversion Goal),
78', Walsh R. (Missed Drop Goal),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Canberra won 2.

Canberra has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Brisbane is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Brisbane may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Canberra is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Canberra won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 350:376. (average 20.6:22.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Canberra won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 244:209. (average 24.4:20.9).

banner

Last Results with these Odds

Brisbane Broncos - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 41.01%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Canberra Raiders
Australian NRL
07.09.25	Dolphins - Canberra Raiders	62:24 ✺
30.08.25	Canberra Raiders - Wests Tigers	24:10 ✺
22.08.25	Penrith Panthers - Canberra Raiders	16:20 OT ✺
08.08.25	Canberra Raiders - Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles	28:12 ✺
02.08.25	St. George Illawarra Dragons - Canberra Raiders	18:12 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWWWL
- Brisbane Broncos
Australian NRL
04.09.25	Brisbane Broncos - Melbourne Storm	30:14 ✺
30.08.25	North Queensland Cowboys - Brisbane Broncos	30:38 ✺
24.08.25	Newcastle Knights - Brisbane Broncos	12:46 ✺
16.08.25	Brisbane Broncos - Dolphins	38:28 ✺
07.08.25	Melbourne Storm - Brisbane Broncos	22:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NRL
15.03.25	Canberra Raiders - Brisbane Broncos	32:22
20.04.24	Brisbane Broncos - Canberra Raiders	34:10
26.08.23	Canberra Raiders - Brisbane Broncos	18:29
08.04.23	Brisbane Broncos - Canberra Raiders	14:20
11.06.22	Brisbane Broncos - Canberra Raiders	24:18
12.06.21	Canberra Raiders - Brisbane Broncos	38:16
15.08.20	Canberra Raiders - Brisbane Broncos	36:8

Upcoming Matches