Match Info
NRL - Round 11Date: 17 May 2026, SundayLocation: Suncorp Stadium (Brisbane)Where to Watch on TV: | |
|---|
 Australia | Fox League, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports, NRL |
 New-zealand | SKY Go NZ |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports Action |
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Penrith Panthers |
|
St. George Illawarra Dragons |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.03 |
34 |
15 |
|
 |
1.03 |
70 |
18 |
|
 |
1.04 |
26.6 |
13.8 |
 Watch |
 |
1.03 |
51 |
11 |
|
 |
1.03 |
34 |
13 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.03 ↓
(1.04) |
43.12 ↑
(42.5) |
14.16 ↑
(11.2) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 56.00
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-27)
- The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Penrith Panthers
91.2% | Draw
2.2% | St. George Illawarra Dragons
6.6% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Penrith Panthers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)St. George Illawarra Dragons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Penrith Panthers - St. George Illawarra Dragons Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 42:15 
#ad
Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
1.  Edwards D.
| 1. Gutherson C.
|
2. Jenkins T.
| 2. Setu T.
|
3. Alamoti P.
| 3.  Suli M.
|
4. McLean C.
| 4. Holmes V.
|
5.  To'o B.
| 5.  Tuipulotu C.
|
6. Talagi B.
| 6.  Atkinson D.
|
7. Cleary N. (C)
| 7. Flanagan K.
|
8. Leota M.
| 8. Tonga L.
|
9. Lussick F.
| 9. Cook D. (C)
|
10. Smith L.
| 10. Couchman T.
|
11. Papali'i I.
| 11. Egan D.
|
13. Yeo I.
| 12. Stewart H.
|
17. Tago I.
| 13. Couchman R.
|
| Substitutes |
|---|
12. Garner L.
| 14. Leilua L.
|
14. Cogger J.
| 15. Guler E.
|
15. Sorensen S.
| 16. Kerr J.
|
16. Henry L.
| 17. Lawrie B.
|
18. Phillips B.
| 19. King-Togia L.
|
19. Scott B.
| 20. Buchanan H.
|
| Coaches |
|---|
. Cleary I.
| . Young D.
|
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (12 - 0)
- 12', Jenkins T. (Try),
- 14', Cleary N. (Conversion Goal),
- 37', Jenkins T. (Try),
- 38', Cleary N. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (16 - 6)
- 47', Papali'i I. (Try),
- 48', Cleary N. (Conversion Goal),
- 60', Tuipulotu C. (Try),
- 61', Holmes V. (Conversion Goal),
- 69', To'o B. (Try),
- 71+1', Cleary N. (Missed Conversion),
- 79', Garner L. (Try),
- 80', Cleary N. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: ) and 17).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Penrith won 4.Penrith is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).St. George Illawarra is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).Penrith may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.Recently, Penrith has had a series of away games.Recently, St. George Illawarra has had a series of home games. In this match, Penrith is the undeniable favorite.In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Penrith won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 415:281. (average 23.1:15.6).Including home matches between the teams, Penrith won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 174:112. (average 21.8:14).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian NRL | | | 06.09.25 | St. George Illawarra Dragons - Penrith Panthers | 20:40 | | 28.07.24 | St. George Illawarra Dragons - Penrith Panthers | 10:46 | | 01.06.24 | Penrith Panthers - St. George Illawarra Dragons | 10:22 | | 04.06.23 | Penrith Panthers - St. George Illawarra Dragons | 26:18 | | 18.03.22 | St. George Illawarra Dragons - Penrith Panthers | 16:20 | | 13.08.21 | St. George Illawarra Dragons - Penrith Panthers | 16:34 | | 20.03.20 | St. George Illawarra Dragons - Penrith Panthers | 28:32 |
|
100% bonus on 1st bet up to €200 in free bet
