Match Info

NRL - Round 19

Date: 11 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Kayo Stadium (Brisbane)

Referee: Smith T. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports, NRL TV
Canada	fubo Sports Network
New-zealand	SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 2
Usa	Fox Soccer Plus


	Dolphins		Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks

	1	X	2
	1.72	23	2.15
	1.75	15	2.3
	1.66	20.45	2.35	Watch
	1.8	18	2.1
	1.7	21	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.54)	19.49 ↓ (22.61)	2.23 ↓ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 49.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dolphins
53.7%

Draw
4.8%

Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks
41.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

60.4%

4.1%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.6%

4.5%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dolphins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dolphins's form might have worsened.

Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dolphins than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Dolphins - Cronulla Sutherland Sharks Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 27:23

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fuller T.	1. Kennedy W.
2. Isaako J.	2. Katoa S.
3. Averillo J.	3. Ramien J.
4. Farnworth H.	4. Iro K.
5. Naufahu T.	5. Mulitalo R.
6. Nikorima K.	6. Trindall B.
7. Schneider B.	7. Hynes N.
9. Marshall-King J.	8. Hazelton T.
10. Molo F.	11. Burns B.
11. Lemuelu C.	12. Wilton T.
12. Finefeuiaki K.	13. McInnes C.
13. Knowles M.	16. Kaufusi O.
24. Flegler T.	22. Brailey B.
Substitutes
8. Kaufusi F.	9. Berrell J.
14. Donoghoe K.	14. Puru H.
16. Gilbert T.	15. Talakai S.
17. Su'a S.	17. Tapuha T. H.
18. Pouniu B.	18. Hiroti M.
23. Plath M.	23. Fonua-Blake A.
Coaches
. Woolf K.	. Fitzgibbon C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 24)
17', Kaufusi O. (Try),
18', Hynes N. (Conversion Goal),
23', Iro K. (Try),
24', Hynes N. (Conversion Goal),
27', Katoa S. (Try),
29', Hynes N. (Conversion Goal),
32', Mulitalo R. (Try),
33', Hynes N. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (0 - 42)
49', Iro K. (Try),
50', Hynes N. (Conversion Goal),
52', Ramien J. (Try),
53', Hynes N. (Conversion Goal),
58', Hynes N. (Try),
59', Hynes N. (Conversion Goal),
62', Katoa S. (Try),
64', Hynes N. (Conversion Goal),
71', Hazelton T. (Try),
72', Hynes N. (Conversion Goal),
74', Hynes N. (Try),
74', Hynes N. (Conversion Goal),
79', Ramien J. (Try),
79', Hynes N. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).

Now, both teams are in good form.

Cronulla-Sutherland may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Dolphins might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Dolphins won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 116:78. (average 29:19.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dolphins NRL
Australian NRL
05.07.26	Newcastle Knights - Dolphins	13:12 ✺
27.06.26	Dolphins - New Zealand Warriors	26:24 ✺
20.06.26	Wests Tigers - Dolphins	22:36 ✺
12.06.26	Dolphins - Sydney Roosters	48:10 ✺
06.06.26	North Queensland Cowboys - Dolphins	14:40 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWWWW
- Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks
Australian NRL
04.07.26	Brisbane Broncos - Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	16:28 ✺
21.06.26	Sydney Roosters - Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	27:8 ✺
13.06.26	New Zealand Warriors - Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	8:10 ✺
07.06.26	Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks - St. George Illawarra Dragons	34:12 ✺
29.05.26	Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks - Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles	28:22 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NRL
21.03.26	Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks - Dolphins	10:38
11.07.25	Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks - Dolphins	24:12
13.06.24	Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks - Dolphins	28:30
06.05.23	Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks - Dolphins	16:36

Dolphins - Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide