The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
North Queensland Cowboys 34.9%
Draw 4.9%
Dolphins 60.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
45.5%
4%
50.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.8%
4%
50.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
North Queensland Cowboys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that North Queensland Cowboys's form might have worsened.
Dolphins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dolphins's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Queensland Cowboys than the current prediction. (+10.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for North Queensland Cowboys, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dolphins than the current prediction. (-10.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dolphins, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
0%
50%
North Queensland Cowboys - Dolphins Predictions
Users Predictions:
2 users predict this event. North Queensland will win (votes: 1 - 50%). Dolphins will win (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 26:31
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Drinkwater S.
1. Tabuai-Fidow H.
2. Laybutt Z.
2. Isaako J.
3. Purdue J.
3. Bostock J.
4. Chester T.
4. Farnworth H.
5. Taulagi M.
5. Cobbo S.
6. Sutton L.
6. Nikorima K.
7. Clifford J.
7. Katoa I. (C)
8. Mikaele T.
8. Flegler T.
9. Mahoney R.
10. Molo F.
10. Taumalolo J.
11. Lemuelu C.
11. Luki H.
12. Finefeuiaki K.
12. McIntyre S.
13. Knowles M.
13. Cotter R. (C)
14. Marshall-King J.
Substitutes
14. Luke S.
9. Plath M.
15. Neame G.
15. Donoghoe K.
16. Lodge M.
16. Gilbert T.
17. Hess C.
17. Stone R.
19. King E.
18. Kaufusi F.
20. Greig W.
19. Schneider B.
Coaches
. Payten T.
. Woolf K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (10 - 16)
6', Cobbo S. (Try),
8', Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),
15', Taulagi M. (Try),
15', Clifford J. (Missed Conversion),
20', Chester T. (Try),
21', Clifford J. (Conversion Goal),
30', Isaako J. (Try),
31', Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),
34', Katoa I. (Try),
35', Isaako J. (Missed Conversion),
2nd Half (4 - 24)
48', Tabuai-Fidow H. (Try),
49', Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),
52', Chester T. (Try),
53', Clifford J. (Missed Conversion),
67', Donoghoe K. (Try),
68', Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),
71', Cobbo S. (Try),
73', Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),
79', Flegler T. (Try),
80', Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: ))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, North Queensland won 1.
Recent performances by North Queensland have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Dolphins is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
North Queensland may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Dolphins will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, North Queensland won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 161:239. (average 23:34.1).
Including home matches between the teams, North Queensland won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 60:168. (average 15:42).
Australia
New-zealand
United-kingdom
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Drinkwater S. 
Tabuai-Fidow H. 
Isaako J. 
Farnworth H. 
Katoa I. (C) 
Donoghoe K. 
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