The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Dolphins 63.4%
Draw 4.8%
New Zealand Warriors 31.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
54.6%
3.9%
41.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.3%
3.9%
41%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dolphins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dolphins's performance.
New Zealand Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and New Zealand Warriors might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dolphins than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dolphins that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Zealand Warriors than the current prediction. (+9.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that New Zealand Warriors could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Dolphins - New Zealand Warriors Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:22
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Tabuai-Fidow H.
1. Tuaupiki T.
2. Isaako J.
2. Watene-Zelezniak D.
3. Bostock J.
3. Leiataua A.
4. Farnworth H.
4. Pompey A.
5. Cobbo S.
5. Nicoll-Klokstad C.
6. Nikorima K.
6. Harris-Tavita C.
7. Katoa I.
7. Martin T.
8. Flegler T.
8. Stowers-Smith T.
9. Marshall-King J.
9. Egan W.
10. Molo F.
10. Barnett M.
11. Lemuelu C.
11. Laban J.
12. Finefeuiaki K.
12. Capewell K.
13. Knowles M.
13. Clark E.
Substitutes
14. Plath M.
14. Healey S.
15. Donoghoe K.
15. Ieremia-Toeava E.
16. Stone R.
16. Vaimauga D.
17. Kaufusi F.
17. Niukore M.
18. Schneider B.
18. Fatialofa K.
20. Naufahu T.
20. Metcalf L.
Coaches
. Woolf K.
. Webster A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (16 - 12)
5', Cobbo S. (Try),
6', Isaako J. (Missed Conversion),
8', Laban J. (Try),
10', Pompey A. (Conversion Goal),
18', Watene-Zelezniak D. (Try),
20', Pompey A. (Conversion Goal),
24', Farnworth H. (Try),
26', Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),
39', Isaako J. (Try),
40', Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (10 - 12)
50', Isaako J. (Try),
50', Isaako J. (Missed Conversion),
61', Nicoll-Klokstad C. (Try),
62', Pompey A. (Conversion Goal),
75', Healey S. (Try),
77', Pompey A. (Conversion Goal),
78', Cobbo S. (Try),
78', Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dolphins won 3.
Dolphins has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
In recent matches, New Zealand has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Dolphins may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Dolphins has had a series of away games.
Dolphins might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Dolphins won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 206:218. (average 22.9:24.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Dolphins won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 80:58. (average 26.7:19.3).
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Tabuai-Fidow H. 
Tuaupiki T. 
Isaako J. 
Farnworth H. 
Katoa I. 
Donoghoe K. 
100% bonus on 1st bet up to €200 in free bet
