Match Info
NRL - Round 1Date: 6 March 2026, FridayLocation: Go Media Stadium (Auckland)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Australia | Fox League, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports, NRL |
New-zealand | SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 1 |
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New Zealand Warriors |
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Sydney Roosters |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.6 |
26 |
1.5 |
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 |
2.5 |
21 |
1.53 |
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 |
2.9 |
15 |
1.52 |
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 |
2.71 |
19.92 |
1.53 |
Watch |
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2.5 |
21 |
1.5 |
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 |
2.62 |
26 |
1.51 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.64 ↑ (2.59) |
21.49 ↑ (20.07) |
1.52 ↓ (1.56) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 42.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
New Zealand Warriors 34.9% | Draw 4.3% | Sydney Roosters 60.8% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:New Zealand Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Sydney Roosters has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)New Zealand Warriors - Sydney Roosters Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 18:24 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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1. Nicoll-Klokstad C.
| 1. Tedesco J. (C)
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2. Watene-Zelezniak D.
| 2. Tupou D.
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3. Leiataua A.
| 3. Smith B.
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4. Pompey A.
| 5. Nawaqanitawase M.
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5. Tuivasa-Sheck R.
| 6. Cherry-Evans D.
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6. Harris-Tavita C.
| 7. Walker S.
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7. Boyd T.
| 8. Whyte N.
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8. Fisher-Harris J. (C)
| 9. Ioelu B.
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9. Egan W.
| 10. Collins L.
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10. Ford J.
| 11. Crichton A.
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11. Capewell K.
| 12. Butcher N.
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12. Laban J.
| 17. Leniu S.
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13. Clark E.
| 19. Pauga F.
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| Substitutes |
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14. Healey S.
| 13. Steep B.
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15. Vaimauga D.
| 14. Watson C.
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16. Halasima L.
| 15. Wong S.
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17. Stowers-Smith T.
| 16. Butcher E.
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18. Tuaupiki T.
| 18. Ramsey C.
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20. Gannon M.
| 22. Rodwell T.
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| Coaches |
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. Webster A.
| . Robinson T.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (22 - 6)
- 12', Boyd T. (Try),
- 13', Boyd T. (Conversion Goal),
- 16', Tedesco J. (Try),
- 17', Walker S. (Conversion Goal),
- 21', Boyd T. (Missed Penalty),
- 24', Pompey A. (Try),
- 25', Boyd T. (Missed Conversion),
- 29', Capewell K. (Try),
- 30', Boyd T. (Conversion Goal),
- 34', Harris-Tavita C. (Try),
- 36', Boyd T. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (20 - 12)
- 47', Halasima L. (Try),
- 49', Boyd T. (Conversion Goal),
- 51', Smith B. (Try),
- 53', Walker S. (Conversion Goal),
- 53', Healey S. 🟥,
- 56', Crichton A. (Try),
- 57', Walker S. (Conversion Goal),
- 60', Boyd T. (Penalty Goal),
- 76', Harris-Tavita C. (Try),
- 78', Boyd T. (Conversion Goal),
- 79', Nicoll-Klokstad C. (Try),
- 79', Boyd T. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New Zealand won 1. Sydney might have a minor edge in this game.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, New Zealand won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 282:444. (average 14.1:22.2).Including home matches between the teams, New Zealand won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 127:206. (average 12.7:20.6).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian NRL | | | 21.03.25 | New Zealand Warriors - Sydney Roosters | 14:6 | | 12.05.24 | Sydney Roosters - New Zealand Warriors | 38:18 | | 30.04.23 | New Zealand Warriors - Sydney Roosters | 0:14 | | 10.03.23 | Sydney Roosters - New Zealand Warriors | 20:12 | | 17.04.22 | Sydney Roosters - New Zealand Warriors | 22:14 | | 04.04.21 | Sydney Roosters - New Zealand Warriors | 32:12 | | 25.07.20 | New Zealand Warriors - Sydney Roosters | 10:18 |
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