Match Info
NRL - Round 11Date: 17 May 2026, SundayLocation: Suncorp Stadium (Brisbane)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | Fox League, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports, NRL |
 New-zealand | SKY Go NZ |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports Action |
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 |
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Gold Coast Titans |
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Newcastle Knights |
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|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
3 |
26 |
1.4 |
|
 |
3 |
20 |
1.48 |
|
 |
3.18 |
22.78 |
1.4 |
 Watch |
 |
2.8 |
26 |
1.44 |
|
 |
3.33 |
18 |
1.37 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.06 ↓
(3.24) |
22.56 ↓
(24.5) |
1.42 ↑
(1.36) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 56.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-10)
- The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Gold Coast Titans
30.3% | Draw
4.1% | Newcastle Knights
65.5% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Gold Coast Titans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)Newcastle Knights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gold Coast Titans than the current prediction. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle Knights than the current prediction. (+4.2%)Gold Coast Titans - Newcastle Knights Predictions
Users Predictions:
2 users predict this event. Newcastle will win (votes: 2 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 23:33 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
1.  K
| 1.  Ponga K.
|
2. Taumoepeau J.
| 2.  Young D.
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3. JoJo
| 3. Gagai D.
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4. Brimson A.
| 5. Marzhew G.
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5. Sami P.
| 6. Sharpe F.
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6. Campbell J.
| 7. Brown D.
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7. Harrison Z.
| 8.  Saifiti J.
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8.  Fotuaika M.
| 9. Crossland P.
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9. Pascoe O.
| 10. Mooney T.
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10. Faasuamaleaui T.
| 11. Lucas D.
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11. Randall C.
| 12. McEwen J.
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12. Fermor B.
| 13. Croker M.
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13. Bai C.
| 14. Smith S.
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| Substitutes |
|---|
14. Morrin K.
| 15. Frizell T.
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15.  Haas K.
| 16. Saulo P.
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16. Patston J.
| 17. Hopwood C.
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17. Hau A.
| 18. Graham H.
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18. De Groot J.
| 19. Hunt F.
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19. Sommerton L.
| 20. Manuleleua F.
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| Coaches |
|---|
. Hannay J.
| . Holbrook J.
|
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (6 - 6)
- 2', Pascoe O. (Try),
- 3', Campbell J. (Conversion Goal),
- 26', Sharpe F. (Try),
- 28', Ponga K. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (6 - 30)
- 45', Marzhew G. (Try),
- 46', Ponga K. (Conversion Goal),
- 51', Young D. (Try),
- 52', Ponga K. (Conversion Goal),
- 57', Morrin K. (Try),
- 57', Campbell J. (Conversion Goal),
- 61', Young D. (Try),
- 63', Ponga K. (Missed Conversion),
- 66', Gagai D. (Try),
- 67', Ponga K. (Conversion Goal),
- 68', Sharpe F. (Try),
- 69', Ponga K. (Missed Conversion),
- 74', Young D. (Try),
- 75', Ponga K. (Missed Conversion),
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 and 9).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gold Coast won 2.Recent form of Gold Coast has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).Newcastle has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Newcastle may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Newcastle is the team to beat.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gold Coast won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 493:455. (average 24.7:22.8).Including home matches between the teams, Gold Coast won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 321:162. (average 32.1:16.2).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian NRL | | | 09.05.25 | Newcastle Knights - Gold Coast Titans | 20:24 | | 22.03.25 | Gold Coast Titans - Newcastle Knights | 26:6 | | 01.09.24 | Newcastle Knights - Gold Coast Titans | 36:14 | | 18.05.24 | Gold Coast Titans - Newcastle Knights | 24:28 | | 14.05.23 | Newcastle Knights - Gold Coast Titans | 46:26 | | 28.08.22 | Gold Coast Titans - Newcastle Knights | 36:26 | | 01.07.22 | Newcastle Knights - Gold Coast Titans | 38:12 |
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