Match Info
NRL - Round 5Date: 4 April 2025, FridayLocation: CommBank Stadium (Sydney)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Australia | Fox League, NRL |
Germany | Sportdigital+ |
New-zealand | Sky Sport 2 |
South-africa | SuperSport ESPN 2 |
Usa | Sport 24 At Sea |
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Penrith Panthers |
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North Queensland Cowboys |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.2 |
29 |
5 |
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 |
1.2 |
26 |
4.5 |
|
 |
1.22 |
30 |
4.6 |
Watch |
 |
1.22 |
23.14 |
4.69 |
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 |
1.21 |
23 |
4.54 |
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 |
1.22 |
30 |
4.6 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.21 ↓ (1.23) |
26.86 ↓ (32.33) |
4.66 ↑ (4.46) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 49.00
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-14)
- The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

Watch this match and Australian NRL with fuboTV (for US customers) Network on TV: FOX Soccer Plus#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Penrith Panthers 76.6% | Draw 3.5% | North Queensland Cowboys 19.9% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Penrith Panthers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)North Queensland Cowboys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Penrith Panthers - North Queensland Cowboys Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Penrith will win (votes: 3 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:18 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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1. Laurie D.
| 1. Drinkwater S.
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2. Alamoti P.
| 2. Derby R.
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3. Tago I.
| 3. Purdue J.
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4. Jenkins T.
| 4. Vailea V.
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5. McLean C.
| 5. Taulagi M.
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6. Cole J.
| 6. Dearden T.
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7. Cleary N.
| 7. Clifford J.
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8. Leota M.
| 8. McLean J.
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9. Kenny M.
| 9. Robson R.
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11. Papali'i I.
| 10. Taumalolo J.
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12. Martin L.
| 11. Bateman J.
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13. Yeo I.
| 12. O'Donnell K.
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17. Garner L.
| 14. McIntyre S.
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| Substitutes |
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10. Smith L.
| 15. Nanai J.
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14. Schneider B.
| 16. Neame G.
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15. Eisenhuth M.
| 17. Hess C.
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16. Henry L.
| 18. Edwards H.
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18. Talagi B.
| 20. Duffy T.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (18 - 12)
- 7', Taulagi M. (Try),
- 8', Drinkwater S. (Conversion Goal),
- 14', McLean C. (Try),
- 15', Cleary N. (Conversion Goal),
- 19', Tago I. (Try),
- 20', Cleary N. (Conversion Goal),
- 32', Vailea V. (Try),
- 33', Clifford J. (Conversion Goal),
- 39', Garner L. (Try),
- 40', Cleary N. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (0 - 10)
- 46', Purdue J. (Try),
- 47', Drinkwater S. (Missed Conversion),
- 51', Taulagi M. (Try),
- 53', Drinkwater S. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 and 14).Last 5 head-to-head matches Penrith won 2. Two teams are playing changeable. North Queensland could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents. In this match Penrith is a favorite.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Penrith won 9 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 372:385 (average 18.6:19.3). Including matches at home between the teams Penrith won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 217:191 (average 19.7:17.4).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian NRL | | | 30.06.24 | Penrith Panthers - North Queensland Cowboys | 6:16 | | 27.04.24 | North Queensland Cowboys - Penrith Panthers | 20:26 | | 02.09.23 | Penrith Panthers - North Queensland Cowboys | 44:12 | | 16.06.23 | North Queensland Cowboys - Penrith Panthers | 27:23 OT | | 03.09.22 | North Queensland Cowboys - Penrith Panthers | 38:8 | | 27.05.22 | Penrith Panthers - North Queensland Cowboys | 22:0 | | 13.03.21 | Penrith Panthers - North Queensland Cowboys | 24:0 |
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