Match Info

NRL - Round 14

Date: 6 June 2025, Friday

Location: AAMI Park (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SupeSport ESPN 2
Australia	Fox League, NRL


	Melbourne Storm		North Queensland Cowboys

	1	X	2
	1.2	34	5
	1.16	26	5
	1.22	30	4.8	Watch
	1.19	40	4.7	Watch
	1.18	23	5.03
	1.22	30	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↓ (1.22)	30.5 ↑ (26.8)	4.89 ↑ (4.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 51.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-15)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melbourne Storm
77.9%

Draw
3.1%

North Queensland Cowboys
19%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

76.8%

3.5%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melbourne Storm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

North Queensland Cowboys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Melbourne Storm - North Queensland Cowboys Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -5.5, OT - Melbourne (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Melbourne (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 34:19

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Papenhuyzen R.	1. Drinkwater S.
2. Anderson G.	2. Derby R.
3. Howarth J.	3. Laybutt Z.
4. Meaney N.	4. Vailea V.
5. Coates X.	5. Paulo J.
6. Munster C.	6. Purdue J.
7. Hughes J.	7. Dearden T. (C)
8. Utoikamanu S.	8. McLean J.
9. Grant H. (C)	9. Robson R.
11. Blore S.	10. McIntyre S.
12. Katoa E.	11. Bateman J.
13. Loiero T.	12. Nanai J.
17. Asofa-Solomona N.	13. Cotter R.
Substitutes
10. King J.	14. Edwards H.
14. Wishart T.	16. Neame G.
16. Kamikamica T.	17. Hess C.
18. Lisati A.	19. Lawton K.
Coaches
. Bellamy C.	. Payten T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (18 - 4)
5', Katoa E. (Try),
7', Papenhuyzen R. (Conversion Goal),
17', Hughes J. (Try),
19', Papenhuyzen R. (Conversion Goal),
21', Paulo J. (Try),
23', Drinkwater S. (Missed Conversion),
40', Hughes J. (Try),
40', Papenhuyzen R. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (20 - 10)
43', Meaney N. (Try),
45', Papenhuyzen R. (Conversion Goal),
53', Drinkwater S. (Try),
54', Drinkwater S. (Conversion Goal),
55', Derby R. (Try),
56', Drinkwater S. (Missed Conversion),
59', Asofa-Solomona N. (Try),
60', Papenhuyzen R. (Conversion Goal),
74', Papenhuyzen R. (Penalty Goal),
79', Wishart T. (Try),
80', Papenhuyzen R. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, North Queensland has had a series of home games.

In this match, Melbourne is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melbourne won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 388:385. (average 19.4:19.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 228:176. (average 22.8:17.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Melbourne Storm
Australian NRL
31.05.25	Gold Coast Titans - Melbourne Storm	16:28 ✺
17.05.25	Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks - Melbourne Storm	31:26 ✺
11.05.25	Melbourne Storm - Wests Tigers	64:0 ✺
04.05.25	Melbourne Storm - Canberra Raiders	18:20 OT ✺
25.04.25	Melbourne Storm - South Sydney Rabbitohs	24:16 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLWLW
- North Queensland Cowboys
Australian NRL
31.05.25	North Queensland Cowboys - Wests Tigers	32:28 ✺
17.05.25	North Queensland Cowboys - Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles	6:24 ✺
10.05.25	North Queensland Cowboys - Penrith Panthers	30:30 OT ✺
03.05.25	New Zealand Warriors - North Queensland Cowboys	30:26 ✺
26.04.25	North Queensland Cowboys - Gold Coast Titans	50:18 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NRL
23.02.25	Melbourne Storm - North Queensland Cowboys	24:36
29.08.24	North Queensland Cowboys - Melbourne Storm	38:30
04.06.23	North Queensland Cowboys - Melbourne Storm	45:20
21.05.22	North Queensland Cowboys - Melbourne Storm	36:6
23.07.21	North Queensland Cowboys - Melbourne Storm	16:20
13.09.20	Melbourne Storm - North Queensland Cowboys	36:20
06.09.19	Melbourne Storm - North Queensland Cowboys	24:16

Melbourne Storm - North Queensland Cowboys: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide