Match Info

NRL - Round 22

Date: 1 August 2025, Friday

Location: Suncorp Stadium (Brisbane)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Fox League, Kayo Sports, NRL
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1


	Brisbane Broncos		South Sydney Rabbitohs

	1	X	2
	1.14	29	6.5
	1.12	26	6
	1.14	30	6.6	Watch
	1.10	24.57	8.07	Watch
	1.1	34	7
	1.1	26	7
	1.14	29	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.12 ↓ (1.2)	28.37 ↓ (29)	6.81 ↑ (4.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 49.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-20)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brisbane Broncos
83.1%

Draw
3.3%

South Sydney Rabbitohs
13.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

77.3%

3.2%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brisbane Broncos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Brisbane Broncos's performance.

South Sydney Rabbitohs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and South Sydney Rabbitohs might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Brisbane Broncos - South Sydney Rabbitohs Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 44.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 46.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 35:15

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Walsh R.	1. Gray J.
2. Cobbo S.	2. Johnston A.
3. Staggs K.	3. Tass I.
4. Shibasaki G.	4. Duncan T.
5. Mariner D.	5. Bentley-Hape B.
6. Mam E.	8. Arrow J.
7. Reynolds A. (C)	9. Gray R.
8. Willison X.	10. Keppie S.
9. Hunt B.	11. Aitken E.
12. Riki J.	12. Host J.
13. Carrigan P.	13. Hubner L.
16. Jensen C.	17. Ward A.
17. Gosiewski J.	19. Dodd L.
Substitutes
14. Walters B.	14. Havili S.
15. Hetherington K.	15. Le Blanc L.
18. Smoothy T.	16. Fletcher T.
20. Talty B.	20. Munro T.
Coaches
. Maguire M.	. Bennett W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (18 - 8)
16', Mam E. (Try),
17', Reynolds A. (Conversion Goal),
25', Gosiewski J. (Try),
27', Reynolds A. (Conversion Goal),
32', Bentley-Hape B. (Try),
33', Tass I. (Missed Conversion),
36', Staggs K. (Try),
37', Reynolds A. (Conversion Goal),
40', Duncan T. (Try),
40', Tass I. (Missed Conversion),
2nd Half (42 - 6)
42', Cobbo S. (Try),
44', Reynolds A. (Conversion Goal),
50', Mariner D. (Try),
52', Reynolds A. (Conversion Goal),
55', Talty B. (Try),
56', Reynolds A. (Conversion Goal),
57', Mariner D. (Try),
59', Reynolds A. (Conversion Goal),
64', Staggs K. (Try),
65', Reynolds A. (Conversion Goal),
67', Mam E. (Try),
68', Reynolds A. (Conversion Goal),
71', Hubner L. (Try),
72', Ward A. (Conversion Goal),
78', Walsh R. (Try),
79', Reynolds A. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: ) and 17).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 2.

Brisbane is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

South Sydney has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

South Sydney may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Brisbane is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 421:427. (average 21.1:21.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Brisbane won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 179:184. (average 19.9:20.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brisbane Broncos
Australian NRL
25.07.25	Brisbane Broncos - Parramatta Eels	20:22 ✺
13.07.25	Gold Coast Titans - Brisbane Broncos	14:26 ✺
04.07.25	Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs - Brisbane Broncos	18:22 ✺
28.06.25	Brisbane Broncos - New Zealand Warriors	26:12 ✺
22.06.25	Brisbane Broncos - Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	34:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWWWW
- South Sydney Rabbitohs
Australian NRL
26.07.25	South Sydney Rabbitohs - Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	12:14 ✺
18.07.25	Penrith Panthers - South Sydney Rabbitohs	30:10 ✺
06.07.25	Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles - South Sydney Rabbitohs	30:12 ✺
28.06.25	Dolphins - South Sydney Rabbitohs	50:28 ✺
21.06.25	South Sydney Rabbitohs - Melbourne Storm	24:25 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NRL
09.05.25	South Sydney Rabbitohs - Brisbane Broncos	22:14
14.06.24	South Sydney Rabbitohs - Brisbane Broncos	22:12
14.03.24	Brisbane Broncos - South Sydney Rabbitohs	28:18
21.07.23	South Sydney Rabbitohs - Brisbane Broncos	20:36
28.04.23	Brisbane Broncos - South Sydney Rabbitohs	6:32
05.05.22	South Sydney Rabbitohs - Brisbane Broncos	12:32
11.03.22	Brisbane Broncos - South Sydney Rabbitohs	11:4

Brisbane Broncos - South Sydney Rabbitohs: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide