The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
South Sydney Rabbitohs 86.1%
Draw 2.8%
Sydney Roosters 11.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
37%
3.7%
59.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.3%
3.7%
58.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
South Sydney Rabbitohs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+49.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in South Sydney Rabbitohs's performance.
Sydney Roosters has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-48.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sydney Roosters might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for South Sydney Rabbitohs than the current prediction. (-48.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with South Sydney Rabbitohs that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sydney Roosters than the current prediction. (+47.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sydney Roosters could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
South Sydney Rabbitohs - Sydney Roosters Predictions
Users Predictions:
1 users predict this event. Sydney will win (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:29
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gray J.
1. Ramsey C.
2. Johnston A.
2. Tupou D.
3. Mitchell L.
3. Pauga F.
4. Wighton J.
4. Talau T.
5. Graham C.
5. Bassingthwaighte R.
7. Sullivan J.
6. Foley R.
8. Tatola T.
7. Rodwell T.
9. Smith B.
8. Leniu S.
10. Koloamatangi K.
9. Ioelu B.
11. Fifita D.
11. Foketi S.
12. Elliott A.
12. Butcher E.
13. Murray C. (C)
13. Watson C. (C)
23. Arrow J.
15. Losalu T.
Substitutes
6. Walker C.
14. Rodwell T.
14. Dufty M.
16. Va'a D. L. S.
15. Hubner L.
17. Warwick A.
16. Keppie S.
18. Elliot J.
17. Humphreys J.
19. Barton H.
18. Aitken E.
20. Lee L.
19. Siegwalt L.
Coaches
. Bennett W.
. Robinson T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (20 - 4)
6', Fifita D. (Try),
7', Mitchell L. (Missed Conversion),
14', Sullivan J. (Try),
15', Mitchell L. (Conversion Goal),
17', Johnston A. (Try),
18', Mitchell L. (Missed Conversion),
22', Tupou D. (Try),
24', Rodwell T. (Missed Conversion),
33', Graham C. (Try),
34', Mitchell L. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (30 - 16)
48', Aitken E. (Try),
49', Mitchell L. (Missed Conversion),
51', Bassingthwaighte R. (Try),
52', Rodwell T. (Conversion Goal),
54', Butcher E. (Try),
55', Rodwell T. (Missed Conversion),
57', Walker C. (Try),
58', Mitchell L. (Conversion Goal),
62', Elliott A. (Try),
62', Mitchell L. (Conversion Goal),
66', Graham C. (Try),
67', Mitchell L. (Missed Conversion),
72', Mitchell L. (Try),
73', Mitchell L. (Missed Conversion),
77', Smith B. (Try),
78', Mitchell L. (Conversion Goal),
79', Bassingthwaighte R. (Try),
80', Ramsey C. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, South Sydney won 1.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
In this match, South Sydney is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, South Sydney won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 410:458. (average 20.5:22.9).
Including home matches between the teams, South Sydney won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 214:190. (average 23.8:21.1).
Last Results with these Odds
Sydney Roosters - the odds 1.56 are the expected chance of winning is 59.27%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.
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Gray J. 
Johnston A. 
Tupou D. 
Smith B. 
Leniu S. 
Aitken E. 
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