Match Info
NRL - Round 11Date: 18 May 2025, SundayLocation: Campbelltown Stadium (Sydney)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | Fox League, NRL |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 United-kingdom | Sky Go, Sky Sports Action |
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Wests Tigers |
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South Sydney Rabbitohs |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.91 |
23 |
2 |
|
 |
1.91 |
19 |
1.91 |
|
 |
2 |
22 |
1.92 |
|
 |
1.96 |
17.94 |
1.96 |
 Watch |
 |
1.89 |
21 |
1.99 |
Watch |
 |
2 |
22 |
1.92 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.95 ↑
(1.86) |
20.82 ↑
(19.31) |
1.95 ↓
(2.01) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 47.00
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
- The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Wests Tigers
47.8% | Draw
4.5% | South Sydney Rabbitohs
47.7% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Wests Tigers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)South Sydney Rabbitohs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wests Tigers than the current prediction. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for South Sydney Rabbitohs than the current prediction. (-3.8%)Wests Tigers - South Sydney Rabbitohs Predictions
Users Predictions:
Wests Tigers will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Wests Tigers will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Expected Score (Market Odds): 25:23 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
1.  Bula J.
| 1.  Mitchell L. (C)
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2. Turuva S.
| 2.  Johnston A.
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3.  Doueihi A.
| 3. Tass I.
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4. To'a S.
| 4. Graham C.
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5. Staines C.
| 5. Bentley-Hape B.
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6. Galvin L.
| 6. Sullivan J.
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7.  Luai J.
| 7. Humphreys J.
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8. May T.
| 8. Arrow J.
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9. Koroisau A. (C)
| 9.  Havili S.
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10. Hunt R.
| 10. Koloamatangi K.
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11. Fainu S.
| 11.  Aitken E.
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12. Seyfarth A.
| 12. Duncan T.
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13. Twal A.
| 13. Hubner L.
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| Substitutes |
|---|
14. Naden B.
| 14.  Gray J.
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15. Sukkar T.
| 16.  Moale D.
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16. Bird J.
| 17. Le Blanc L.
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17. Fainu S.
| 18. Tatola T.
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| Coaches |
|---|
.  Marshall B.
| . Bennett W.
|
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (6 - 12)
- 10', Havili S. (Try),
- 11', Mitchell L. (Conversion Goal),
- 25', Aitken E. (Try),
- 27', Mitchell L. (Conversion Goal),
- 39', Koroisau A. (Try),
- 40', Doueihi A. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (6 - 10)
- 60', Johnston A. (Try),
- 69', Koroisau A. (Try),
- 70', Doueihi A. (Conversion Goal),
- 79', Arrow J. (Try),
- 79', Mitchell L. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 11).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wests won 1.Wests has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).South Sydney has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).South Sydney may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.We predict that Wests will win today's game, with odds of 1.95.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wests won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 390:470. (average 19.5:23.5).Including home matches between the teams, Wests won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 230:205. (average 20.9:18.6).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian NRL | | | 17.08.24 | Wests Tigers - South Sydney Rabbitohs | 18:16 | | 20.07.24 | South Sydney Rabbitohs - Wests Tigers | 42:28 | | 28.07.23 | Wests Tigers - South Sydney Rabbitohs | 18:32 | | 13.05.23 | South Sydney Rabbitohs - Wests Tigers | 20:0 | | 28.05.22 | South Sydney Rabbitohs - Wests Tigers | 44:18 | | 23.04.22 | Wests Tigers - South Sydney Rabbitohs | 23:22 | | 04.07.21 | Wests Tigers - South Sydney Rabbitohs | 22:38 |
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