Match Info

NRL - Round 6

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Optus Stadium (Perth)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Fox League, NRL
New-zealand	Sky Sport 4
United-kingdom	Sky Go, Sky Sports Action, Sky Sports Main Event


	South Sydney Rabbitohs		North Queensland Cowboys

	1	X	2
	2.05	21	1.83
	2.1	21	1.73
	2.1	22	1.85	Watch
	2.15	23	1.75
	2.1	17	1.8
	2.1	22	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (1.75)	21 ↓ (23.8)	1.8 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 50.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

South Sydney Rabbitohs
44.1%

Draw
4.4%

North Queensland Cowboys
51.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.5%

3.9%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

4.3%

46.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

South Sydney Rabbitohs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that South Sydney Rabbitohs's form might have worsened.

North Queensland Cowboys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting North Queensland Cowboys's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for South Sydney Rabbitohs than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Queensland Cowboys than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

South Sydney Rabbitohs - North Queensland Cowboys Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. South Sydney will win (votes: 1 - 25%). North Queensland will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. North Queensland (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 24:26

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gray J.	1. Drinkwater S.
2. Johnston A.	2. Derby R.
3. Aitken E.	3. Purdue J.
4. Wighton J.	4. Vailea V.
5. Tass I.	5. Taulagi M.
6. Mitchell L. (C)	6. Dearden T. (C)
7. Sullivan J.	7. Clifford J.
8. Keppie S.	8. McLean J.
9. Mamouzelos P.	9. Robson R.
10. Tatola T.	10. Taumalolo J.
11. Koloamatangi K.	12. O'Donnell K.
12. Arrow J.	13. Cotter R.
13. Hubner L.	14. McIntyre S.
Substitutes
14. Le Blanc L.	15. Nanai J.
15. Havili S.	16. Neame G.
16. Duncan T.	17. Hess C.
17. Moale D.	18. Edwards H.
Coaches
. Bennett W.	. Payten T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 6)
19', Drinkwater S. (Penalty Goal),
22', Aitken E. (Try),
24', Mitchell L. (Missed Conversion),
36', Taulagi M. (Try),
2nd Half (12 - 18)
44', Arrow J. (Try),
45', Mitchell L. (Conversion Goal),
57', McIntyre S. (Try),
59', Drinkwater S. (Missed Conversion),
63', Purdue J. (Try),
64', Drinkwater S. (Conversion Goal),
68', Purdue J. (Try),
69', Drinkwater S. (Conversion Goal),
72', Gray J. (Try),
73', Mitchell L. (Conversion Goal),
77', Drinkwater S. (Penalty Goal),

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: ) and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches South Sydney won 3.

South Sydney is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches North Queensland is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

North Queensland could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches South Sydney won 9 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 381:446 (average 19.1:22.3).

Including matches at home between the teams South Sydney won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 207:228 (average 18.8:20.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- South Sydney Rabbitohs
Australian NRL
04.04.25	South Sydney Rabbitohs - Sydney Roosters	20:14 ✺
27.03.25	South Sydney Rabbitohs - Penrith Panthers	28:18 ✺
22.03.25	Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks - South Sydney Rabbitohs	27:12 ✺
15.03.25	St. George Illawarra Dragons - South Sydney Rabbitohs	24:25 ✺
07.03.25	South Sydney Rabbitohs - Dolphins	16:14 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 WWLWW
- North Queensland Cowboys
Australian NRL
04.04.25	Penrith Panthers - North Queensland Cowboys	18:22 ✺
29.03.25	North Queensland Cowboys - Canberra Raiders	30:20 ✺
21.03.25	Brisbane Broncos - North Queensland Cowboys	26:16 ✺
15.03.25	North Queensland Cowboys - Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	12:36 ✺
08.03.25	Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles - North Queensland Cowboys	42:12 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NRL
18.05.24	South Sydney Rabbitohs - North Queensland Cowboys	22:28
25.06.23	South Sydney Rabbitohs - North Queensland Cowboys	6:31
27.08.22	South Sydney Rabbitohs - North Queensland Cowboys	20:10
09.07.21	South Sydney Rabbitohs - North Queensland Cowboys	46:18
15.08.20	North Queensland Cowboys - South Sydney Rabbitohs	30:31
20.07.19	North Queensland Cowboys - South Sydney Rabbitohs	18:30
12.05.19	South Sydney Rabbitohs - North Queensland Cowboys	32:16

South Sydney Rabbitohs - North Queensland Cowboys: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide