Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPEAN RUGBY CHAMPIONS CUP - ROUND 1

Date: 9 December 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Sports Max
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV6
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Bath		Ulster

	1	X	2
	1.36	21	3.25
	1.36	23	3.1
	1.36	21	3.25
	1.4	28	3.08
	1.36	24	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.38)	23.4 ↑ (21.67)	3.18 ↓ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 48.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bath
67.2%

Draw
3.9%

Ulster
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.9%

4.3%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.7%

3.8%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bath has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Ulster has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bath than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bath, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ulster than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Bath - Ulster Predictions

Users Predictions: Bath will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:21

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Ulster could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Bath is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Bath to win the game is with odds 1.37.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Bath won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 31-39.

Including matches at home between the teams Bath won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16-17.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bath Rugby
English Premiership Rugby
02.12.23	Bath - Exeter Chiefs	41:24 ✺
24.11.23	Sale Sharks - Bath	11:9 ✺
17.11.23	Bath - Bristol Rugby	20:19 ✺
10.11.23	Gloucester - Bath	27:45 ✺
04.11.23	Northampton Saints - Bath	24:18 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLWWL
- Ulster Rugby
United Rugby Championship
02.12.23	Ulster - Edinburgh	24:27 ✺
25.11.23	Glasgow Warriors - Ulster	33:20 ✺
17.11.23	Ulster - Lions	24:17 ✺
10.11.23	Ulster - Munster	21:14 ✺
04.11.23	Connacht - Ulster	22:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

European Rugby Champions Cup
18.01.20	Ulster - Bath	22:15
16.11.19	Bath - Ulster	16:17

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